New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78b3c3b1f0ddbfc85416b79412647dc806e7ec8a46376f554a254562103edacd

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,690,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,916,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,690,757 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,043 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Over	44c	650,000$289,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360,749.98	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198a…6762backed Under	56c	501,559$278,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278,663.43	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over	48c	466,038$223,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242,339.6	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over	42c	460,000$195,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264,670.79	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Under	52c	254,753$131,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131,924.13	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	52c	201,912$105,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105,035.84	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	61c	196,244$119,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119,474.2	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under	55c	154,298$84,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,864.03	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	54c	118,279$63,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,327.56	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under	62c	96,436$59,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,604.53	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	57c	95,584$54,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,112.22	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	61c	63,076$38,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,690.61	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	50c	53,313$26,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,843.44	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,500	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	40c	47,649$18,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,855.47	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over	51c	47,010$24,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,009.77	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	55c	45,104$24,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,720.37	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	46c	39,421$17,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,969.16	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over	60c	32,816$19,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,004.64	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under	55c	25,000$13,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,750	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	52c	25,000$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under	38c	24,479$9,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,238.63	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over	41c	24,390$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,390.24	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	48c	23,572$11,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,199.53	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over	49c	20,400$9,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,404	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under	55c	20,000$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under	55c	20,000$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under	56c	20,000$11,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,100	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,600	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	48c	19,366$9,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,070.32	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	58c	18,465$10,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,798.4	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over	48c	18,300$8,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,568.63	135	43%58 W · 77 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under	54c	14,815$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Over	48c	14,583$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,583.33	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under	52c	14,000$7,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,280	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Over	43c	14,000$6,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,979.99	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over	47c	13,886$6,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,359.6	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+15.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over	39c	13,155$5,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,043.48	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	48c	12,500$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,500	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under	57c	11,404$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,500	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over	45c	11,060$4,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,082.75	258	44.6%115 W · 143 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	46c	10,279$4,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,550.71	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,799.96	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,299.93	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under	39c	9,490$3,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,697.83	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under	53c	9,383$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over	48c	8,442$4,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,389.84	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	49c	8,205$3,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,208.65	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	52c	8,000$4,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,139.97	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under	53c	7,987$4,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,232.92	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	52c	7,692$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	48c	7,533$3,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,929.76	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under	55c	6,808$3,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,744.14	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over	46c	6,684$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,583.94	166	37.3%62 W · 104 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Over	49c	6,260$3,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,192.48	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over	46c	6,086$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,286.44	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,299.92	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7b3…74a5backed Over	43c	5,650$2,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,193.54	13	92.3%12 W · 1 L	+5.2wins	+0.40per pick	53cpaid	+106.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under	53c	5,500$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,911.93	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	46c	5,485$2,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,974.59	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over	47c	5,455$2,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,891.32	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under	54c	5,426$2,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,923.04	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Under	53c	5,350$2,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,835.49	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over	49c	5,308$2,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,707.08	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Under	58c	5,172$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	55c	5,025$2,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,272.73	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Under	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,850	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,749.98	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	44c	4,941$2,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,786.56	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked Under	38c	4,892$1,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,845.36	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under	41c	4,842$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.03	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e5…d012backed Over	49c	4,686$2,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,390.09	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over	60c	4,546$2,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,815.38	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Over	46c	4,435$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,394.79	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.84	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	4,112$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.12	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f65…55d2backed Over	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.63	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	48c	3,999$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,079.56	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under	55c	3,969$2,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.93	205	47.3%97 W · 108 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over	52c	3,330$1,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,609.91	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45dd…7181backed Under	61c	3,279$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	40	40%16 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	52c	3,196$1,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,661.97	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Under	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.98	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	54c	2,955$1,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	46c	2,938$1,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.86	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under	54c	2,866$1,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,561.24	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	48c	2,843$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360.99	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over	44c	2,842$1,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.22	179	38%68 W · 111 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	63c	2,796$1,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.98	238	57.6%137 W · 101 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Under	52c	2,615$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5this page
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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