Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48f245ceae5a9a77a6020a42722a093a86587b6e12841a4c3dc2f612c6ec051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,002,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,041,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,002,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 232,593$176,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,091.56 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 120,961$28,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,440.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 28c | 70,910$19,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,713.31 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 66,182$8,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,996.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 25c | 63,320$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,719.14 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 37,503$11,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,771.74 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Under | 68c | 22,515$15,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.05 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 9c | 21,981$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.68 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 21,648$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 10c | 14,486$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.6 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 23c | 13,623$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.01 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 10,663$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.79 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 67c | 10,161$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.95 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 24c | 10,008$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.44 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 12c | 9,644$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.71 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 35c | 8,965$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.06 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 71c | 7,808$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.26 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 13c | 7,505$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 28c | 6,261$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.19 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 72c | 6,017$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.45 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 17c | 5,411$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.12 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 27c | 5,185$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 73c | 5,087$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.76 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 16c | 5,042$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.21 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Under | 78c | 5,000$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.24 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 12c | 4,712$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.96 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 10c | 4,653$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.44 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 10c | 4,578$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.57 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 12c | 4,537$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.25 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Over | 34c | 4,118$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Under | 77c | 3,921$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.49 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 3,890$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.67 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 19c | 3,869$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.65 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 66c | 3,475$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.63 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 3,243$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.83 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 68c | 2,582$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.11 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 66c | 2,429$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.53 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Over | 36c | 2,283$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.23 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 2,157$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.97 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 69c | 2,149$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.22 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 2,045$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.01 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Over | 15c | 2,002$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.31 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Under | 63c | 1,987$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Over | 18c | 1,948$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.44 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 79c | 1,849$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 76c | 1,828$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.41 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 17c | 1,819$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.36 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Over | 16c | 1,816$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.39 | 270 | 32.2%87 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 37c | 1,797$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.75 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 17c | 1,745$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.94 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 28c | 1,711$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.09 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Over | 9c | 1,700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Under | 71c | 1,685$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.46 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 10c | 1,679$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Under | 75c | 1,607$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.01 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…237cbacked Under | 64c | 1,572$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.33 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 12c | 1,550$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 3c | 1,546$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Over | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Under | 69c | 1,453$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.61 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 14c | 1,437$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 5c | 1,428$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 1,355$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.78 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 15c | 1,331$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Over | 20c | 1,284$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over | 19c | 1,269$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over | 7c | 1,253$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 3c | 1,250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 17c | 1,242$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Under | 79c | 1,242$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.47 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed Over | 1c | 1,240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Over | 17c | 1,222$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 11c | 1,220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 27c | 1,206$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.03 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked Over | 25c | 1,180$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Over | 11c | 1,153$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 15c | 1,130$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 12c | 1,123$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.15 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…37f9backed Over | 14c | 1,080$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…1819backed Over | 16c | 1,076$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Over | 19c | 1,066$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 38c | 1,046$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 301 | 42.5%128 W · 173 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…6117backed Over | 30c | 1,039$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 12c | 961.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Over | 36c | 944.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.21 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Over | 11c | 875.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 12c | 855.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 832.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.74 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…9f3abacked Over | 28c | 788.6$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked Over | 34c | 776.79$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 9c | 775.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5this page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.