TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,002,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,041,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,002,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under76c232,593$176,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,091.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c120,961$28,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,440.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over28c70,910$19,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,713.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over14c66,182$8,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,996.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over25c63,320$15,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,719.1442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over31c37,503$11,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,771.741,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under68c22,515$15,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,205.057550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over9c21,981$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.6828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c21,648$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.834,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over10c14,486$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.61,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over23c13,623$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.0139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under66c10,663$7,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.7919946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under67c10,161$6,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,346.9575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over24c10,008$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.4458642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over12c9,644$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.7138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over30c9,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9822342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over35c8,965$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.0644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under71c7,808$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.261,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over13c7,505$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.882,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over28c6,261$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.1936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under72c6,017$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.451,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over17c5,411$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.1225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over27c5,185$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.152,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under73c5,087$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.761,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over16c5,042$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.212,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under78c5,000$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.2438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over12c4,712$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.961,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over10c4,653$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4434924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over10c4,578$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.571,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over12c4,537$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.2545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over34c4,118$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4008316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under77c3,921$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.4923353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over18c3,890$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.671,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over19c3,869$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.6527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under66c3,475$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.631,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under77c3,243$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.832,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under68c2,582$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.1112862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under66c2,429$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.5351429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over36c2,283$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.238950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c2,157$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.972,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under69c2,149$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.2234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over20c2,045$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.011,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Over15c2,002$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.318025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Under63c1,987$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.283138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Over18c1,948$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4413237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under79c1,849$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.584,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under76c1,828$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4134845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over17c1,819$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3639933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over16c1,816$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over37c1,797$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.7523857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over17c1,745$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over28c1,711$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.0917442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under74c1,700$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4427153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Over9c1,700$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15315052%78 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under71c1,685$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over10c1,679$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.049323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under75c1,607$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under64c1,572$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.3310055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over12c1,550$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9710532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over3c1,546$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3125125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Over13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Under69c1,453$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6132733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over14c1,437$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over5c1,428$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c1,355$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.782,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over15c1,331$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.241,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over20c1,284$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5812528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over19c1,269$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7236234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over7c1,253$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9522933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over3c1,250$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over17c1,242$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21617938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under79c1,242$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde63…46c2backed Over1c1,240$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2210727.1%29 W · 78 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over17c1,222$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.499821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over11c1,220$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2410330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over27c1,206$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0358942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Over25c1,180$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4311044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over11c1,153$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.823713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over15c1,130$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.572,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over12c1,123$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1523440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over14c1,080$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.65543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Over16c1,076$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Over19c1,066$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over38c1,046$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe667…6117backed Over30c1,039$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102070%14 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over12c961.51$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1319218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Over36c944.88$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2115040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Over11c875.05$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9522032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over12c855.87$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.361,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under72c832.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.742,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10459230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9615920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9f…9f3abacked Over28c788.6$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2173636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Over34c776.79$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over9c775.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4717827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.