TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Egypt (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Zealandof Egypt, New Zealand
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$661,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$672,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Egypt16c288,881$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Egypt5c100,200$4,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,717.612,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Egypt2c41,773$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Egypt17c11,483$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.1812536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd7…a0cebacked Egypt2c5,952$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510844.4%48 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Egypt11c5,656$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Egypt15c4,648$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Egypt15c4,421$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.198135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Egypt15c4,376$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.423942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Egypt8c3,939$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.452,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Egypt21c3,339$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.3422846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Egypt15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Egypt15c2,658$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Egypt17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42525019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Egypt17c2,171$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36918626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Egypt6c2,153$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.362,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Egypt10c2,000$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5826459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Egypt16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Egypt2c1,816$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Egypt14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Egypt15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Egypt13c1,484$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Egypt17c1,367$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.541,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Egypt16c1,340$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Egypt11c1,322$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Egypt11c1,262$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13860821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Egypt25c1,198$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.871,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Egypt15c1,053$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Egypt13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Egypt7c993.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5439932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Egypt2c937$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.116833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Egypt4c860.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.222,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Egypt14c720.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Egypt7c708.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Egypt16c671.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.474112.2%5 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Egypt3c644.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7936234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Egypt16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Egypt12c618.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.111,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Egypt16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9619317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Egypt16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9647127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Egypt16c592$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.721,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Egypt16c562.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020154.7%110 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Egypt17c502$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3436349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Egypt14c499.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Egypt3c454.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7246012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Egypt5c451.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Egypt16c450$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5609…2020backed Egypt12c430.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed Egypt9c420$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7815235.5%54 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9f…9f3abacked Egypt14c412.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Egypt16c412.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515836.7%58 W · 100 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Egypt15c390.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0198439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Egypt14c386$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.97911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Egypt15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Egypt16c328.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.562,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7a…d48dbacked Egypt16c304.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.711323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Egypt10c300.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2f…4ab8backed Egypt17c296.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.471533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Egypt17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked New Zealand76c260.01$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.212635.7%45 W · 81 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ed5…44bfbacked Egypt11c240.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8917941.3%74 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Egypt16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3547049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Egypt15c206.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Egypt7c201.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.021,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked New Zealand76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Egypt15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308119.8%16 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Egypt16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Egypt13c186.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.961,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Egypt15c165$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7514533.1%48 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Egypt9c163.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.142,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1e…3517backed Egypt13c154.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.95228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Egypt14c148.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121939.3%86 W · 133 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Egypt15c144$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622445.5%102 W · 122 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked New Zealand77c133.46$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2e…4257backed New Zealand77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.876955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Egypt16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Egypt15c119.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.193,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Egypt17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Egypt13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522627.9%63 W · 163 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Egypt17c114.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.489832.7%32 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Egypt16c112.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Egypt11c107.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Egypt16c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Egypt14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Egypt15c95.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.440240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Egypt14c83.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3d…34efbacked Egypt24c83.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015360.8%93 W · 60 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa066…16aebacked Egypt16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.820138.3%77 W · 124 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed New Zealand73c74.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1880225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Egypt16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6983…fd10backed Egypt16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Egypt25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde5d…d818backed New Zealand79c54.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c18…926abacked Egypt22c46.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.023112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-79.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd43c…6003backed Egypt31c38.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.