TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,566 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over5c7,033$352 inLost-$351.652,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over10c5,000$500 inLost-$499.9735424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over12c2,917$350 inLost-$35037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Over12c2,259$271 inLost-$271.11421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over10c1,289$129 inLost-$128.8638526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over9c1,089$98 inLost-$9817938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over12c1,000$120 inLost-$12045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over6c979.05$56 inLost-$55.5734924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over12c760.83$91 inLost-$91.310532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…c4febacked Over10c620.64$64 inLost-$63.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e2a4backed Over12c580$70 inLost-$69.61723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c435.21$39 inLost-$39.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost-$5016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over13c414.89$54 inLost-$53.522,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over31c360$112 inLost-$111.648328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c294.72$30 inLost-$30.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2556…b00ebacked Over18c279.68$50 inLost-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over10c269.96$28 inLost-$283,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over10c250$25 inLost-$2512419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over9c220.61$20 inLost-$19.8534533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over9c217$19 inLost-$19.4314260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over9c215.91$20 inLost-$206619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over10c213.25$21 inLost-$2147744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe6…bb5cbacked Over10c185.1$19 inLost-$18.51633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over10c150$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over9c132.64$12 inLost-$11.9434844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54a…f771backed Over15c116.67$17 inLost-$175228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Over11c100$11 inLost-$118421.4%18 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c89.11$14 inLost-$14.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under68c57$39 inWon+$18.241,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under68c56$38 inWon+$17.921,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under78c35$27 inWon+$7.71,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.