Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cc2e980e0376b9cf7924f7458e80eafa919c2dd2dad6f43bb1fcc1347314912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 11,979$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked No | 73c | 4,152$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 62c | 4,030$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.7 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 17c | 3,529$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 2,632$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.76 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,875$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.36 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 62c | 1,517$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.57 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 62c | 1,082$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.24 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 16c | 990.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 16c | 674.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 60c | 659.69$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c0e6backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 16c | 507$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Yes | 16c | 411.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 72c | 391.2$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 73c | 383.52$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 62c | 361.68$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 63c | 334.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 320.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 17c | 294.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 16c | 291.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Yes | 14c | 278.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 47c | 224.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked No | 62c | 216.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 39c | 205.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 202.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 72c | 195.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 16c | 184.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 167.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 15c | 148.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 14c | 144.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ec9cbacked No | 62c | 142.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…f8dbbacked Yes | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…b00ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb563…888bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 46c | 109.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…a43abacked Yes | 17c | 104.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…180dbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…e594backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 16c | 92.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…ace1backed Yes | 23c | 76.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…33b0backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0da…9b36backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…cd66backed Yes | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed No | 80c | 36.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…9e5dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed No | 62c | 24.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 65c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 66c | 16.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367d…7312backed No | 62c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c05…6be3backed No | 72c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.