TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,265 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over3c25,519$850 inLost-$850.42,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over1c24,564$340 inLost-$339.8151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over5c16,000$848 inLost-$84834125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c12,780$476 inLost-$476.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over5c11,139$607 inLost-$607.1114612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over4c6,321$231 inLost-$230.723,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over3c5,557$145 inLost-$144.661,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over3c5,000$150 inLost-$15035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f0…42debacked Over5c4,913$230 inLost-$23080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over2c3,355$77 inLost-$77.2838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over4c3,250$132 inLost-$131.671,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over2c2,787$52 inLost-$51.8451250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over5c2,687$134 inLost-$133.5984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over7c2,071$135 inLost-$135.3977433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over5c2,000$106 inLost-$10615920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over5c2,000$98 inLost-$9822342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over5c1,793$81 inLost-$8134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over4c1,380$50 inLost-$49.631,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over6c1,000$60 inLost-$6052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Over5c899.98$40 inLost-$40.531842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over12c747.99$90 inLost-$9050146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over3c747.68$25 inLost-$25.082,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over2c666.66$13 inLost-$13.0846939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over4c594.83$25 inLost-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over5c513.24$26 inLost-$2643819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over8c500$40 inLost-$4033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over5c500$24 inLost-$23.534551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55be…fb40backed Over3c454.55$15 inLost-$158531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over5c422.95$21 inLost-$21.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over4c386$16 inLost-$16.32,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb949…f6fcbacked Over5c340.87$16 inLost-$15.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over5c302.9$15 inLost-$1511720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over5c300$15 inLost-$14.79020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5299…fb07backed Over5c240.49$12 inLost-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c18…926abacked Over5c219.79$10 inLost-$10.113112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-79.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf180…3b6cbacked Over7c208.49$14 inLost-$13.639427.7%26 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over7c200$15 inLost-$14.7737237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over6c200$12 inLost-$11.646525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63e…30e3backed Over8c125$10 inLost-$105532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.