Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77129d406b51a747a1bd043ae5ff5d14272ee85e709b61280a40db9ec69b6342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egyptof New Zealand, Egypt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed New Zealand | 7c | 25,176$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.11 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked New Zealand | 18c | 11,127$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed New Zealand | 4c | 10,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d7…4713backed New Zealand | 0c | 8,818$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed New Zealand | 11c | 8,378$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.55 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New Zealand | 14c | 7,051$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed New Zealand | 15c | 5,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.82 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked New Zealand | 16c | 5,343$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.5 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked New Zealand | 5c | 5,253$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed New Zealand | 15c | 2,810$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 301 | 42.5%128 W · 173 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…37eebacked New Zealand | 16c | 2,610$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Zealand | 6c | 2,092$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed New Zealand | 4c | 1,820$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…02dabacked New Zealand | 4c | 1,651$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 189 | 21.7%41 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed New Zealand | 3c | 1,309$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed New Zealand | 4c | 1,299$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed New Zealand | 5c | 1,031$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked New Zealand | 18c | 1,000$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…5ed8backed New Zealand | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed New Zealand | 17c | 983.1$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed New Zealand | 4c | 982.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked New Zealand | 6c | 897.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked New Zealand | 18c | 653$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked New Zealand | 6c | 557$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked New Zealand | 4c | 555.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked New Zealand | 14c | 528.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed New Zealand | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ad44backed New Zealand | 16c | 476.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New Zealand | 5c | 400.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked New Zealand | 3c | 359.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked New Zealand | 5c | 341.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…341dbacked New Zealand | 5c | 338.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked New Zealand | 9c | 334.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed New Zealand | 19c | 333.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Zealand | 16c | 333$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed New Zealand | 16c | 314.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked New Zealand | 5c | 311.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed New Zealand | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…44bfbacked New Zealand | 16c | 287.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked New Zealand | 18c | 275.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed New Zealand | 16c | 270.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed New Zealand | 8c | 255.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed New Zealand | 5c | 251.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New Zealand | 11c | 187.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…be20backed New Zealand | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New Zealand | 15c | 122.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed New Zealand | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New Zealand | 11c | 102.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…e988backed New Zealand | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked New Zealand | 13c | 94.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d01…ead8backed New Zealand | 18c | 85.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed New Zealand | 19c | 61.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Egypt | 80c | 54.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)this page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.