TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c77,682$36,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,896.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over54c30,000$16,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,867.9921343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c26,249$12,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,511.561,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under45c18,134$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,160.1753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c18,035$9,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,420.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over54c13,800$7,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,347.997020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over55c12,027$6,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.252,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c11,999$5,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,739.283,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Over51c11,587$5,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,670.092227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c10,440$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…c3b2backed Over56c8,423$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c8,161$4,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,141.374,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under44c7,304$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,190.6438026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c6,851$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c6,416$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.822,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under21c5,858$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.952,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c5,033$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.922,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Over56c4,860$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.7316750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over55c4,518$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.199929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over55c3,637$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.2727433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over55c3,478$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.212,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c3,250$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over52c3,053$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.761,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over54c2,966$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.516747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4770…1ddebacked Over51c2,498$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over54c2,315$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.8117944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over52c2,000$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.9747127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over39c1,999$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.3940343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over53c1,830$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.742,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over55c1,819$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.1830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c1,806$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.721,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under14c1,500$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under14c1,460$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.42313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over49c1,327$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.471,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under46c1,321$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.3458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over51c1,260$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.841,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under47c1,017$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.161,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over52c1,000$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.151,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c996.67$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.437959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under47c995.87$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.591,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0914225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under45c840$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over65c833$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4915763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Over55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2715321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over47c722.96$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.827949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over55c713.64$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.148652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c645.09$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.452,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c612.12$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.861,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Over47c611.46$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3264835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c597.34$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.33,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Over41c588.12$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1221227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over52c580$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.631046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over53c556.91$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.918757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over54c554.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8321052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c548.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under47c531.57$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8536350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over50c530$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2659842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c487$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over32c482.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6148328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.963542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over48c435$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92fc…ea64backed Over49c431.57$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over43c428$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9629636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over67c425$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.339573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x995e…1909backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9ed6backed Over51c403.83$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.888354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under49c401.43$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19513729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd6a…ef21backed Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18413654.4%74 W · 62 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1616943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.644450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over55c359.7$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8612435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1415440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over48c349.94$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.471,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over29c344.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc87f…c8c3backed Under60c334.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over55c310$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.553436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under47c301.39$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2742853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over52c290.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3513862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34de…ff59backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.463145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over54c278$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.887945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7815949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over51c273.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.981,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.738431%26 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Over55c270.38$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7623343.3%101 W · 132 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b9…d379backed Over57c266.93$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.782343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79c7…2699backed Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf0a…a9e0backed Over55c223.58$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c223$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3528545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under48c222.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.141,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Over30c222.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.878119.8%16 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad3d…24e5backed Over53c221.52$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.114032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c220.72$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7422643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over56c219.45$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.711748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under17c217.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.442,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under56c212.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11911648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.