TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$749,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$850,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $749,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No52c97,602$51,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,097.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes47c52,190$24,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,660.5421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c49,905$26,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,301.183,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes48c49,329$23,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,644.3518047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes47c42,370$19,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,456.2415044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,799.98932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Yes48c33,765$16,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,557.7114139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c25,603$13,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,753.129740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes47c23,848$11,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,552.851,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No53c21,297$11,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,287.6321333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed No26c20,167$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.513036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.8838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c18,647$9,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,754.521,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c17,734$8,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,288.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a05…dfbcbacked Yes47c15,686$7,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,313.441526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed No51c13,000$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,629.994235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No52c12,483$6,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,491.38046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No53c11,567$6,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,145.51,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes48c11,252$5,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,851.526154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9622752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes46c9,650$4,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,197.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked No58c9,050$5,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,248.157448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked No5c8,691$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.89180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No30c8,313$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.2817642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No53c7,607$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,031.8536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Yes50c6,641$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.813548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No53c6,641$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.721,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No52c6,478$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.686454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Yes48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2508052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes48c5,961$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.8810331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes47c5,081$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.8117544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No52c4,861$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.792,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No52c4,610$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.9615950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No40c4,486$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.428042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No53c4,389$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.3671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c4,372$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.533,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked No53c4,371$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb902…06d8backed Yes47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.324564.4%29 W · 16 L+8.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Yes48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6713447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Yes46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked No53c3,676$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.15339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ea…5943backed No53c3,544$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.291040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c3,398$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked No56c3,003$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.2632422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes50c2,858$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.431,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes53c2,805$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.162,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed No33c2,626$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5210932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No53c2,619$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.241,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes64c2,492$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.592,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked No57c2,397$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3608354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.738528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Yes48c2,184$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.788047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.918740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes42c2,143$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.066144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8214351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked No24c2,021$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes47c2,014$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.2823224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.943345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9219545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked No25c1,860$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes43c1,804$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.371,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed No53c1,800$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9623033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed No57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes47c1,702$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.1389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed No54c1,697$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.7621044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked No54c1,643$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88711346%52 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.217636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1629…b0ecbacked Yes43c1,622$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.512330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes50c1,558$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.652,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9635424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed No22c1,486$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.847149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Yes48c1,467$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.233641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed No7c1,400$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes50c1,383$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.111,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes46c1,327$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.414637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Yes45c1,319$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.271850%9 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes46c1,303$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.711,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c1,289$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.373,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No52c1,252$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7340655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes47c1,221$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.145550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes67c1,148$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.072,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e77…a6bdbacked Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.363237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1113035.4%46 W · 84 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e4…50f2backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6745…232abacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.965420.4%11 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc480…bb68backed Yes48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-90.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.677647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.674835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6716747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5309148.4%44 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53012040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed No58c999.98$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.996662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed No37c999.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.993234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Yes47c957.45$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.454544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes46c956.18$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.9358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed No53c907.48$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4852744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.