TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0273…46dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,153.75
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,592
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$800
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,200
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,888Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,912.03
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$575
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,941
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,675.42
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.99
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,999.96
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,979.98
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$6,520.24
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,250
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,148.19
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$546
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,000.86
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.94
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$624
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,787.8
Wimbledon WTA: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liubacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,949.63
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,786.81
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,101.42
Wimbledon WTA: Katie Boulter vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,690.41
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.98
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,022.61
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,578Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$859.31
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.76
Bad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,538.37
Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.62
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.99
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Maya Joint vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$449.99
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,005.3
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$178.2
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$300.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$664
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,389.66
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.09
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$813.38
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,000.99
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$978.43
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$310.6
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$596.63
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$208.4
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.36
Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$533.21
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.5
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.