Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd365c8f30f4dce3ef3b2e9e9a3d9ffffd728ff06bf3569fd6a7f64d6a87c8db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof REKONIX, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 62c | 7,050$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 67c | 4,698$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Grind Back | 38c | 3,000$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.29 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back | 38c | 2,108$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.57 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Grind Back | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Grind Back | 40c | 1,530$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.69 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 56c | 1,411$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.72 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed REKONIX | 30c | 1,206$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…dfd7backed REKONIX | 6c | 1,203$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 27c | 1,083$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.01 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grind Back | 30c | 1,000$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.58 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 66c | 1,000$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.41 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Grind Back | 35c | 1,000$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.29 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed REKONIX | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back | 37c | 981.17$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.14 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Grind Back | 36c | 930.2$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Grind Back | 42c | 903.33$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.43 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed REKONIX | 75c | 812.78$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.22 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Grind Back | 37c | 802.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.84 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Grind Back | 37c | 773.93$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.58 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Grind Back | 35c | 771.43$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.43 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Grind Back | 39c | 768.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.08 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grind Back | 43c | 749.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.79 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed REKONIX | 69c | 703.07$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grind Back | 23c | 702.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.98 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed REKONIX | 34c | 700$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back | 51c | 614.31$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed REKONIX | 50c | 602.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Grind Back | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Grind Back | 35c | 599.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.79 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grind Back | 46c | 572.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.61 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 56c | 566.58$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back | 30c | 519.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked Grind Back | 39c | 515.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked REKONIX | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Grind Back | 50c | 463.09$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed REKONIX | 4c | 461.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Grind Back | 36c | 449.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Grind Back | 13c | 442.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.72 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Grind Back | 32c | 440.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.48 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed REKONIX | 65c | 438.56$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.91 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed REKONIX | 65c | 421.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.23 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grind Back | 40c | 401.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Grind Back | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grind Back | 45c | 368.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.65 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back | 27c | 366.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.27 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Grind Back | 76c | 332.42$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Grind Back | 50c | 326$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed REKONIX | 64c | 320.91$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Grind Back | 44c | 320.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.38 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Grind Back | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Grind Back | 27c | 280$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Grind Back | 36c | 270.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked REKONIX | 62c | 242.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grind Back | 41c | 235.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Grind Back | 35c | 228.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 64c | 218.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked Grind Back | 39c | 202.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed REKONIX | 28c | 201$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Grind Back | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked REKONIX | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Grind Back | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Grind Back | 36c | 193.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grind Back | 48c | 190.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Grind Back | 8c | 166.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked REKONIX | 29c | 161.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 65c | 159.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed REKONIX | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed REKONIX | 66c | 151.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Grind Back | 31c | 143.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grind Back | 43c | 141.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed REKONIX | 65c | 135.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed REKONIX | 63c | 133.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 24c | 133.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…e7f0backed Grind Back | 37c | 131.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed REKONIX | 71c | 130.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed REKONIX | 18c | 124.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Grind Back | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked REKONIX | 24c | 118.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed REKONIX | 72c | 117$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked REKONIX | 19c | 116.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…f70cbacked REKONIX | 75c | 112.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Grind Back | 39c | 111.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked REKONIX | 39c | 109.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Grind Back | 20c | 103.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed REKONIX | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Grind Back | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked REKONIX | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Grind Back | 31c | 94.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed REKONIX | 64c | 92.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed REKONIX | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed REKONIX | 63c | 89.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Grind Back | 27c | 85.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed REKONIX | 55c | 84.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 30c | 81.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked REKONIX | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…0b12backed REKONIX | 44c | 79.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Grind Back | 67c | 78.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…bf7abacked REKONIX | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGrind Back won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerGrind Back won
- Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.