TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grind Backof REKONIX, Grind Back
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdfaf…d959backed Grind Back32c15,460$4,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,481.786541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Grind Back32c11,114$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,524.5736248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed REKONIX57c10,103$5,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.1293546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX55c5,479$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.771,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX66c5,115$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.6959254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed REKONIX69c4,527$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.3318152.5%95 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed REKONIX46c4,479$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.3753652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Grind Back36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9202516%4 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Grind Back33c2,981$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.379733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed Grind Back29c2,597$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.553627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back30c2,305$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.3428341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Grind Back30c2,265$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.718536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Grind Back56c2,221$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Grind Back50c2,194$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.9911353.1%60 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back57c2,179$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.021,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Grind Back31c2,000$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.533050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Grind Back31c1,950$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.4981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Grind Back60c1,911$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.625253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed REKONIX47c1,858$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.6813635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed REKONIX49c1,850$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked REKONIX69c1,710$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.745949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Grind Back60c1,652$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+68.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed REKONIX70c1,591$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.1929243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX66c1,550$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.7680544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Grind Back34c1,450$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.516963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked REKONIX44c1,390$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.622543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Grind Back53c1,368$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0514446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back53c1,322$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.511,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed REKONIX32c1,282$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41023529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed REKONIX36c1,280$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3958943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked REKONIX29c1,279$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7930138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed REKONIX40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed REKONIX69c1,156$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.5534051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed REKONIX36c1,146$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4919249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed REKONIX49c1,125$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.3218437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked REKONIX69c1,121$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7702065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX55c1,117$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.681,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Grind Back52c1,076$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.279954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed REKONIX74c1,064$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.5233453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked REKONIX48c1,050$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back51c1,026$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.961,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Grind Back60c1,000$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.981,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed REKONIX47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.720642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69077256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed REKONIX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked REKONIX41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4109242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Grind Back51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9919338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa896…4819backed REKONIX67c990.75$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.092035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX7c967.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3669132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed REKONIX67c947.96$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1320233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back53c927.38$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.81,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX60c905.8$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.9561449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked REKONIX66c895.67$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.149340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb89…c7ebbacked Grind Back69c856.13$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.192450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX67c816.5$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.062,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Grind Back59c809.85$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7516539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3a…269fbacked Grind Back52c791.89$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.654050%20 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed REKONIX64c783.68$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50545352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Grind Back32c780.85$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.44645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Grind Back54c774.89$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7450353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX67c759$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.5388539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Grind Back58c739.51$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed REKONIX72c737.86$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.261369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked REKONIX71c710$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.127060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed Grind Back60c672.35$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.04887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick49cpaid+73.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked REKONIX43c631.47$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.591838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed REKONIX44c613.81$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.83441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked REKONIX36c596$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2758746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked REKONIX32c535.49$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0789238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Grind Back57c518$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.944946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX62c514$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.811,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Grind Back31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back56c492.64$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4171143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed REKONIX72c466.67$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked REKONIX36c456.34$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2856945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Grind Back55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5537549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX46c454.17$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.732,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked REKONIX66c451.43$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.943141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed REKONIX45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Grind Back29c434.24$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3112646%58 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked REKONIX36c429.07$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3930146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0472…c3bfbacked REKONIX58c418.94$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.738048.8%39 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Grind Back58c415.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5674…477dbacked REKONIX73c411.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked REKONIX72c409.72$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed REKONIX66c406$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9633549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Grind Back50c399.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7662841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked REKONIX79c380.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Grind Back60c371.74$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.297964.6%51 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Grind Back55c370.59$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2717852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed REKONIX71c365$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.158046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed REKONIX46c356.27$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.885058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked REKONIX69c347.49$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.773455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Grind Back41c341.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5357735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Grind Back51c339.74$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.472352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed REKONIX69c339.57$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.32748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed REKONIX69c339.57$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.32839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbda…d2c0backed Grind Back30c333.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6710870.4%76 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked REKONIX71c320.85$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.811955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX67c298.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009754.6%53 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.