TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb89…c7eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3881.6%31 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.31
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.74
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.6
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.27
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.74
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.27
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$78.87
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.16
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.27
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.56
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.79
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$178.01
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.79
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$79.19
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$73.66
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$77.89
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$76.42
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$76.42
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.27
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$50.11
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.26
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.27
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$78.54
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.26
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$150.05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$53.16
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$55.03
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.96
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$110.35
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+253.3%+$725.72
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$223.06
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.79
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.69
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$228.11
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.88
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$266.19
Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$218.43
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$118.53
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$103.27
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$94.85
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127%+$421.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.