MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3b1afba7288109f0ce85cde80f888bf9185d31e8fe8e967c981df728ffa680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Tampa Bay Rays, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 131,690$68,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,426.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 100,133$48,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,274.68 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 61c | 38,103$23,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Houston Astros | 50c | 33,700$16,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,958.57 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 23,539$10,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,272.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 19,816$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440.25 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 16,037$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 15,382$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 12,315$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 12,055$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,031.96 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 11,703$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.26 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 9,043$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.23 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 5,359$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,319$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 3,145$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.32 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 54c | 2,474$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.29 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,403$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,303$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.28 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,240$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.3 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,223$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.64 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,215$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,058$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,971$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.08 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,746$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.04 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,690$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.48 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,682$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.42 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,667$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.49 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,505$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.57 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,457$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,360$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.46 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,252$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.5 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,075$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,046$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.7 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 60c | 1,043$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,038$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.41 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,036$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,011$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.41 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 847.32$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.38 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 700$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 77c | 680.07$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Houston Astros | 64c | 680$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 46c | 580.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.88 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 52c | 573.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Houston Astros | 51c | 555$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.41 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 508$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Astros | 56c | 500$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 471.45$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.22 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 12c | 468.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 442.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 423.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.73 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Houston Astros | 52c | 414.42$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.58 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 399.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.39 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 390.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Houston Astros | 52c | 368.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Houston Astros | 52c | 357.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 333$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 77c | 308.07$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 299.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 294.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 52c | 289.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 288.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 283.31$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 46c | 281.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3315backed Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 267.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Houston Astros | 64c | 257.14$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 236.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 231.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 223$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 221.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 209$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 207.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 206.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Houston Astros | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 48c | 203.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Houston Astros | 52c | 203.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 46c | 203$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 47c | 188.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 187.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…e6cdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 182.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 181$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 165$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…3250backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 140.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 138.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 134.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…df46backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 128.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 118.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 116.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 116.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Houston Astros | 52c | 116.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Houston Astros | 52c | 115.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Houston Astros | 47c | 108.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.