TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6597…b746

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
312
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT25351.8%131 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 253 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$112.55
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$165
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$165.85
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.05
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.26
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.21
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.39
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$82.98
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$144.24
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$133.55
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$248.09
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$59.18
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,393.14
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$172.95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$488.33
Showing 25 of 253 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.62
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$345.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$344.18
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$108.22
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.25
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.69
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+229.8%+$220.64
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$267.67
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$84.53
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.36
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.27
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$50.49
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.44
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+189.4%+$90.1
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$94.24
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$60.2
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$67.84
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$100.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+77%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.33
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$74.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju: Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedibacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.