Cricket · resolved market
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x422b200ad1a29dbf6a0298569eb820249a01dc30df0ec94f6843e657bdad9a07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rwandaof Rwanda, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked USA | 43c | 2,573$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.37 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked USA | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Rwanda | 48c | 813.45$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.71 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Rwanda | 32c | 778.7$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.88 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed USA | 44c | 526.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Rwanda | 53c | 424$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.52 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Rwanda | 32c | 319.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed USA | 54c | 313.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.36 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rwanda | 33c | 291.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed USA | 73c | 290.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed USA | 64c | 274.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed USA | 44c | 259.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked USA | 63c | 227.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…0da8backed USA | 74c | 181.08$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Rwanda | 54c | 180.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7595backed USA | 55c | 177.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Rwanda | 34c | 167.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed USA | 71c | 165.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed USA | 66c | 158.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…bb58backed USA | 63c | 156.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed USA | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Rwanda | 70c | 139.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…777fbacked USA | 66c | 139.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed USA | 22c | 129.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Rwanda | 30c | 106.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed USA | 51c | 89.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a54bbacked USA | 51c | 88.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…42d2backed USA | 36c | 87.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Rwanda | 24c | 84.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed USA | 43c | 84.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed USA | 60c | 81.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed USA | 58c | 81.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed USA | 33c | 79.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Rwanda | 33c | 74.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…7fb1backed Rwanda | 50c | 73.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed USA | 52c | 68.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Rwanda | 71c | 66.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed USA | 68c | 66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Rwanda | 45c | 64.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Rwanda | 38c | 62.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +77%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…6b63backed Rwanda | 39c | 61.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…c705backed USA | 67c | 61.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Rwanda | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Rwanda | 55c | 59.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd5…b286backed USA | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rwanda | 46c | 58.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed USA | 32c | 57.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…e38abacked Rwanda | 38c | 50.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked USA | 73c | 50.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rwanda | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed USA | 72c | 49.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked USA | 44c | 43.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…64cdbacked USA | 48c | 41.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rwanda | 37c | 39.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Rwanda | 51c | 32.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed USA | 42c | 30.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…3932backed Rwanda | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Rwanda | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Rwanda | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…3506backed Rwanda | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…e7ccbacked USA | 50c | 25.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…61e2backed USA | 62c | 23.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ae…2308backed Rwanda | 75c | 21.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…72d8backed Rwanda | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…ecf2backed USA | 50c | 20.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed USA | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…4129backed USA | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…e3fabacked USA | 68c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked USA | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.