TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa141…6744

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT5712.3%7 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarranbacked Thiago Cigarran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Irina-Camelia Begu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
Wuxi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Alastair Graybacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
Jiujiang: Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yaobacked Cody Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Aix en Provence: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.42
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$70.35
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkayabacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.45
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs Rudolf Mollekerbacked Rudolf Molleker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Cagliari: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Marcos Gironbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.87
Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Diletta Cherubinibacked Diletta Cherubini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Durhambacked Derbyshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Kentbacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Glamorganbacked Northamptonshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$4.76
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Cyprus vs Croatiabacked Cyprus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$42.23
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$31.34
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emiratesbacked United Arab Emirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.04
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatubacked Vanuatu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lankabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.91
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Omanbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.07
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs Vanuatubacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+365.3%+$60.72
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lankabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.59
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.5
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Omanbacked Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.17
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$36.6
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.84
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.