Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc763cce3ad5a09eecba5c9ef71b6f31d588120dadffb557fc235da9d28d0ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Potapovaof Anastasia Potapova, Irina-Camelia Begu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 9c | 71,237$6,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.42 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 11c | 11,161$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.35 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 0c | 5,069$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 9c | 5,002$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.18 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 11c | 2,822$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 11c | 1,809$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 17c | 1,409$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 947.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 7c | 703.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 12c | 637.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 17c | 605.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 583.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 580.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 17c | 567.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 539.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 538.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 19c | 448.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 19c | 369.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 16c | 299.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 17c | 295.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 12c | 242.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…c744backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 9c | 218.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 8c | 214.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 17c | 180$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 16c | 172.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 150.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 149.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 117.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 84.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.