TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe30e…6b87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57,407Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$36,665.42
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Margot Phanthala vs Sunam Jeongbacked Margot Phanthala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.79
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Hanlei Lu vs Vladimir Osminkinbacked Hanlei Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$208,489Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$159,230.96
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Xing Dao Chen vs Zhiheng Xiabacked Xing Dao Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,906.68
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmansbacked Tiago Boschmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$171,605Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$79,294.76
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45,399.89
Sion: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Gian Luca Tannerbacked Dimitris Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76,834Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$38,314.65
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39,374Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$15,626.17
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90,887Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$64,363.2
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$134,034Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+214.2%+$287,060.31
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$403,182Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$305,287.62
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,798.94
Todi (Doubles): Reymond/Sanchez vs Barrena/Kickerbacked Reymond/Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91,781Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$56,356.37
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38,917Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$11,082.51
ITF Astana: Alibek Kachmazov vs Sora Fukudabacked Sora Fukuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,750.62
ITF Astana: Martin Borisiouk vs Egor Agafonovbacked Martin Borisiouk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13,409Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$6,393.54
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59,688Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$21,311.44
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vladimir Osminkin vs Vlado Jankanjbacked Vlado Jankanj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$461,125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$142,177.22
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$390,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$390,249.78
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Yanaki Milev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$346,919Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$505,074.64
Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barriosbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36,614Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$18,190.82
Los Cabos Open: Michael Zheng vs Martin Landalucebacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$234,377Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$167,090.79
Zug: Harold Mayot vs Raul Brancacciobacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$4,275.2
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,609.13
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,898.68
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25,620
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$229,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$229,535.15
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105,164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$30,236.05
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4,714.29
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$193,965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$54,708.19
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103,910Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29,307.96
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,011.65
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44,894Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$14,606.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$118,205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$40,450.71
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63,900
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$154,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$154,744.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.