MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x491b270b1537fe6971fb09d497808f467fff32d79fc9868e4a9058a9137d1471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,208,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,156,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,208,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 249,588$154,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,744.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 233,681$89,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,003.21 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 100,000$61,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,999.94 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 75,326$29,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,948.57 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 53,218$32,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,462.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 45,000$17,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,449.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 44,606$15,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,439.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 20c | 36,053$7,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,009.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 33,593$20,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,155.58 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…e7e3backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 31,993$12,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,195.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 28,793$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.66 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 25,068$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 20,021$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,718.72 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 19,813$7,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,085.95 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 16,418$7,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,029.89 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 16,254$8,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,715.23 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 14,732$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,243.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 13,730$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,375.14 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 11,890$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,704.9 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 11,888$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,509.01 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 11,860$7,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,115.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 11,248$6,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,863.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 10,950$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…473dbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 10,770$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,461.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 9,613$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.31 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 9,301$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 8,254$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…0061backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 7,734$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 7,668$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.53 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 6,281$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.31 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 6,224$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.64 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 5,407$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 5,290$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 5,064$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.84 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 4,136$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…f002backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 4,133$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 3,543$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.49 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 3,339$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.77 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 2,897$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.53 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,600$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,339$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.04 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 2,010$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.79 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 1,993$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.4 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,788$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…f29fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,748$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 1,447$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,413$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.93 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,283$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,170$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.13 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,086$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.52 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,085$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.11 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,069$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,052$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.62 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,018$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.98 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 1,000$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 980.87$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 958.18$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.07 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 957.23$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 937.5$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 914$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 834$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 733.61$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 700$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.57 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 690$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 655.97$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.25 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…f9d1backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 622.74$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 594.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.34 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 564$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.32 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 540.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 516.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Miami Marlins | 20c | 500.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 500.13$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.87 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 475.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.35 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 451.01$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.12 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 450$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 444.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.97 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.