MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d9749ed0d4b94e1896c931fac1491378513cc4bb80d5ce76bbefabc98e1efc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 50c | 22,631$11,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,224.07 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 52c | 21,332$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 13,698$6,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,955.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 8,590$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 8,176$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.02 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 7,756$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 51c | 7,679$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.34 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 7,377$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 47c | 6,507$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.51 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 6,056$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 5,629$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 4,076$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 3,068$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 50c | 2,941$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.61 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 2,698$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.31 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 2,450$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.98 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 2,070$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 46c | 1,625$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.31 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 54c | 1,420$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 47c | 1,413$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.91 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 49c | 1,041$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.82 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 50c | 969.75$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.73 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Under | 51c | 952.76$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.91 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 898.17$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 884.85$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.12 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 51c | 766.12$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.4 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 752.71$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.88 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 700$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 51c | 636.35$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.04 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 49c | 627.25$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.9 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 51c | 571.37$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 534$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 49c | 515$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 445$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 49c | 377.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 376.73$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Under | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 49c | 367$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 47c | 360.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 51c | 296.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 51c | 254.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 39c | 245.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 51c | 237.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 133.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 50c | 132.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 119$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 48c | 103.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 39c | 93.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Under | 52c | 87.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 50c | 87.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 80.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 79.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 79.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 52c | 79.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Under | 52c | 77.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 64.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 26c | 59.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 49c | 58.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 63c | 45.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 42.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…299abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 42c | 33.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 54c | 32.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 51c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 49c | 27.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 50c | 27.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 51c | 25.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.