MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe63823b72fd86ecfdbccc8940e52589c23c5a9fac8944b949f97fa3d75db64ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.9 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 21,615$11,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,591.19 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 10,000$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 8,473$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 7,504$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 6,938$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 6,784$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.12 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 5,631$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 5,162$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 4,675$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 4,198$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,787$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,331$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.1 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,110$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.9 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,885$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,874$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,795$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 1,659$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,650$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 1,439$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.6 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.01 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,079$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.74 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,008$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.62 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.46 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 602.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 586.37$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.83 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 446.72$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.97 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 429$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 398$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 344.52$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 343.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.53 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 294.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 278.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.11 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 272.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 244$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Miami Marlins | 9c | 208$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 196.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 173$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 172.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 166.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 162.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 162$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 143.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 141.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 137.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 123.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 121.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 120.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 114.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 104.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 98.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 98.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 97.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 96.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 86.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 81.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 80.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 77.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 68.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 67.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 59.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 49.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 48.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 46.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 44.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 39.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 37.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…935fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 37.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 37.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.