TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbff0…2fba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7759.7%46 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ruzic vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Kokoro Isomura vs M Rifqi Fitriadibacked M Rifqi Fitriadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Shapovalov (+1.5)backed Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$10.38
Hernandez vs. Magadan: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnsonbacked Sofia Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smithbacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.18
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Winnipeg: Johannus Monday vs Yuta Shimizubacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Michelsen vs. Harris: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampere: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75%+$14.99
Zug: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Gao vs. Fruhvirtova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Elena Malygina vs Lisa Zaarbacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Granby: August Holmgren vs Yosuke Watanukibacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$14.91
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69%+$69.03
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$127.53
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+255.9%+$255.87
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$257.42
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$184.76
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$225
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$525
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Levan Chokheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$32.04
All 7 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Indiana Pacersbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Summer League: Boston Celtics vs. Charlotte Hornetsbacked Charlotte Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.