TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alan Magadanof Alan Magadan, Garrett Johns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Garrett Johns20c29,374$5,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,913.868,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Garrett Johns17c12,376$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.113,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Garrett Johns46c6,799$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.738,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Garrett Johns17c4,783$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.5711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Garrett Johns47c4,500$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.814,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Alan Magadan56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.998950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Alan Magadan49c3,326$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.364,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Alan Magadan33c3,031$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.7571729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Garrett Johns17c2,879$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.481,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Alan Magadan54c1,885$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.8925453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Garrett Johns66c1,521$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Garrett Johns13c1,396$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.29737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alan Magadan47c1,219$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.13,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Garrett Johns48c1,072$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5472638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Alan Magadan56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.241,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Alan Magadan54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9346030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Alan Magadan56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.864351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Garrett Johns47c828.31$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.051,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa63…f061backed Garrett Johns15c814.15$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.897538.7%29 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Garrett Johns56c744.18$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4446453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Alan Magadan53c666.92$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.921,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alan Magadan51c620.55$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.094,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Garrett Johns52c605.14$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.263,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Garrett Johns67c595.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Garrett Johns17c577.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6570537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9b3…4dbcbacked Alan Magadan53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Garrett Johns39c554.96$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.751,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Garrett Johns45c522.58$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1620452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Garrett Johns48c515.55$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.153,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Alan Magadan39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8243334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Alan Magadan45c500$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27451744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9772…3c18backed Garrett Johns45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254459.1%26 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67c8…20a4backed Garrett Johns73c475.56$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3472462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Alan Magadan21c452.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3811832.2%38 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Garrett Johns50c434.71$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.052,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Alan Magadan54c431.48$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4845256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Garrett Johns47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.544442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Alan Magadan46c319.7$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6452355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Garrett Johns48c308.33$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14733551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Garrett Johns47c302$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9433235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Alan Magadan53c279.95$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2655941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alan Magadan52c266.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.875,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Garrett Johns47c250.55$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.212,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Garrett Johns45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Alan Magadan55c218$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.531,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alan Magadan54c217.08$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.484,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Alan Magadan37c213.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.771,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Alan Magadan49c203.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5939648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Alan Magadan52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9614142.6%60 W · 81 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alan Magadan37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.81,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Garrett Johns17c193.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8423530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbff0…2fbabacked Garrett Johns50c192.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.187759.7%46 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Garrett Johns54c190.49$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.571,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Alan Magadan27c185.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3715560.6%94 W · 61 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5850…fdd9backed Garrett Johns78c180$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.43951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Garrett Johns46c175.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.747,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72db…1029backed Alan Magadan55c159.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7410859.3%64 W · 44 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Alan Magadan48c158.91$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.461,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Garrett Johns48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7241644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Alan Magadan52c149.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.525349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Garrett Johns48c148.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1227139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Alan Magadan55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.452,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5018…1735backed Alan Magadan54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.89875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Alan Magadan75c137.85$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4616469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Alan Magadan37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1496049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Garrett Johns48c132.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4992237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Garrett Johns47c128.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.562,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Garrett Johns48c125.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9913435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Alan Magadan41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9511765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Alan Magadan48c111.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1117748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Alan Magadan54c111.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2619256.8%109 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Garrett Johns47c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Garrett Johns47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711345.1%51 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Garrett Johns48c109.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.492,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Alan Magadan50c105.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5417147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Garrett Johns66c101.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.165157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Garrett Johns43c97.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9539035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Garrett Johns47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1212545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Alan Magadan54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.599050%45 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Alan Magadan55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Alan Magadan52c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.818542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Garrett Johns49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Garrett Johns46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.83,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Garrett Johns47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5932546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked Garrett Johns46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.86342.9%27 W · 36 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Alan Magadan52c77.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0985250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Alan Magadan39c74.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.671,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Garrett Johns47c73.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.690152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alan Magadan51c72.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.496,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Garrett Johns47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8499249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Garrett Johns46c68.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.391,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0e…a838backed Garrett Johns78c67.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Alan Magadan46c66.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.711,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Garrett Johns48c62.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0112035.8%43 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Garrett Johns49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked Garrett Johns63c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6519852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Garrett Johns79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.530746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Garrett Johns44c49.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6311144.1%49 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Garrett Johns47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6843553.1%231 W · 204 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Garrett Johns48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021536.7%79 W · 136 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.