TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e37…5bdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT19852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$21.63
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.9
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.45
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.8
ITF Astana: Shintaro Imai vs Shunsuke Mitsuibacked Shunsuke Mitsui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.73
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.79
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.9
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$11.81
ITF Tianjin: Geun Jun Kim vs Isaac Becroftbacked Isaac Becroft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.61
National Bank Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.16
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.11
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.26
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+344.9%+$41.81
Lexington: Jay Dylan Friend vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$51.4
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$18.48
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.76
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.82
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.16
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.19
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$15.27
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.91
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.