MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a0692c545659b652ed230740dcaf48bc21cba70610f523a17e71a7831b241ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 48c | 136,347$65,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,900.32 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 99,980$51,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,989.52 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…1133backed Over | 47c | 18,334$8,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,654.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 17,000$8,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,840 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 9,074$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.63 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…154bbacked Over | 52c | 8,089$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 60c | 6,656$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.98 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 5,168$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.08 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 63c | 4,958$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.49 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 3,837$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.62 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,132$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.94 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 36c | 1,702$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.78 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 1,683$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.6 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 1,600$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 48c | 1,598$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.18 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 54c | 1,492$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 1,295$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,029$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.13 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 999.47$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.05 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 52c | 930.03$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.62 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 51c | 858.61$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 840$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…e190backed Over | 56c | 773.55$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 56c | 542.67$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Over | 37c | 512.69$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 500.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Under | 66c | 499.06$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…d857backed Under | 72c | 444.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 64c | 418.59$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 26c | 388.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 51c | 303.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…4543backed Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…835ebacked Under | 57c | 249.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Over | 43c | 248.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 38c | 246.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Over | 38c | 246.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 246.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Over | 38c | 236.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 227.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 39c | 221$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…ea3ebacked Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 125.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Under | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 53c | 110.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 104.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Over | 37c | 102.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 100.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 33c | 98.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…0af7backed Under | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 63c | 81.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 63c | 81.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 63c | 81.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fc85backed Over | 21c | 71.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 60c | 60.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5a…cea9backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 24c | 58.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Over | 37c | 53.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf941…31ddbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Over | 55c | 50.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 53c | 46.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Under | 53c | 46.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…f7d8backed Over | 49c | 46.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a7…4fbabacked Over | 43c | 45.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Under | 50c | 39.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 38c | 38.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 38c | 38.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 37.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 58c | 36.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 72c | 36.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 47c | 34.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…f368backed Under | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Under | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Under | 56c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 62c | 21.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Under | 68c | 20.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.