MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd591ec2e36ea5851a8d29ffcecbc6a784fa4b423ea4d562ba7eac78ff7d5a543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 8,187$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 5,391$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.85 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 5,302$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 4,897$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 2,495$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.37 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,952$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 745.53$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 504.61$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 468.46$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 468.46$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 437$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 394.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 365.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 352.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 282.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 236.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 232.9$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 216.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 192.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 190.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 15c | 158.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 22c | 153.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 153.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 100.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…6bd4backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 91.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 86.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Colorado Rockies | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 66.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 54.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…95afbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 41.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 39.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 29.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Colorado Rockies | 69c | 27.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 25.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Colorado Rockies | 64c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 20.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Colorado Rockies | 69c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Colorado Rockies | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.