MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f34c94811275162b9c003aaa7e034bc59e579841cad3479bbd7771ca0a9c46a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 11,745$8,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 5,247$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 51c | 4,888$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 4,237$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 2,383$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 1,658$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.22 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 1c | 1,275$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 1c | 1,275$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 1,172$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 41c | 1,134$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 66c | 909$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 54c | 518.05$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.66 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 46c | 503.46$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 60c | 502.28$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.05 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 41c | 455$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 62c | 354.73$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 71c | 303.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Under | 57c | 300.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.54 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 183.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 175.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 14c | 173$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 58c | 118.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Over | 59c | 109.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 102.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 84.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 80.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 46c | 75.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…9202backed Over | 51c | 67.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 46c | 66.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 47c | 58.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 47c | 48.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a302backed Under | 44c | 44.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…e101backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…f7d8backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 30c | 35.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 30c | 35.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…a258backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…315bbacked Under | 38c | 33.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 59c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 64c | 33.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 46c | 33.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 51c | 29.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Over | 59c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 62c | 16.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 66c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.