TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa24d…0af7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.39
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.51
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.1
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$154.09
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.27
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$60.15
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$35.99
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$155.63
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.42
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$27.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.76
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$75.85
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.96
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.81
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.46
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$67.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$40.38
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$161.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+83.9%+$94.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$147.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Geabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.