Tennis · resolved market
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b9f5af75ab4fd1cf1db6785bc43afb25c056e2ace3cd3d88720a7411d623da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mannarinoof Mannarino, Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Gea | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mannarino | 44c | 99,582$43,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,765.76 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mannarino | 34c | 21,646$7,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,263.52 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gea | 60c | 16,018$9,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,650.81 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gea | 58c | 13,561$7,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,897.82 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Mannarino | 40c | 13,346$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.93 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Mannarino | 44c | 11,096$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,213.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Mannarino | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Gea | 59c | 7,583$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.08 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Mannarino | 40c | 7,430$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.11 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gea | 41c | 7,227$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gea | 61c | 7,074$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Mannarino | 45c | 5,734$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.2 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Gea | 57c | 5,702$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…7298backed Gea | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Gea | 46c | 4,227$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.49 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mannarino | 24c | 3,633$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.81 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Gea | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Gea | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Gea | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.93 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Gea | 69c | 3,263$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.02 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Mannarino | 44c | 2,230$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Gea | 57c | 2,043$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.59 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Mannarino | 38c | 1,992$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.17 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Gea | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Mannarino | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mannarino | 45c | 1,800$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.97 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Gea | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.98 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mannarino | 42c | 1,746$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.68 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Mannarino | 43c | 1,566$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.83 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Mannarino | 48c | 1,510$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.33 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Gea | 65c | 1,495$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.12 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Gea | 65c | 1,461$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Gea | 55c | 1,460$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.97 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Gea | 62c | 1,418$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.69 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Mannarino | 15c | 1,351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.75 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mannarino | 41c | 1,350$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.76 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fc…2d90backed Gea | 36c | 1,330$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Mannarino | 40c | 1,301$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.63 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Mannarino | 28c | 1,300$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mannarino | 56c | 1,262$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.14 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Mannarino | 40c | 1,255$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.9 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Mannarino | 16c | 1,243$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.88 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mannarino | 43c | 1,236$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.57 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mannarino | 13c | 1,215$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.95 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Mannarino | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Gea | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Mannarino | 46c | 1,090$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.7 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Gea | 55c | 1,027$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.2 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Gea | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…ae40backed Gea | 56c | 999.48$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.71 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gea | 43c | 959.78$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gea | 3c | 957.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Gea | 58c | 931.27$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.55 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Mannarino | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Mannarino | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gea | 55c | 838.1$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.95 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Mannarino | 43c | 801.19$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.03 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gea | 63c | 781.5$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.43 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Gea | 56c | 771.43$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Gea | 57c | 762.24$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Gea | 50c | 742.31$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Gea | 71c | 661.91$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.25 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mannarino | 43c | 653$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Gea | 57c | 614.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…88d6backed Mannarino | 45c | 606.13$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Mannarino | 25c | 583$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.42 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Mannarino | 34c | 582.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.35 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mannarino | 43c | 534$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.38 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…b911backed Gea | 56c | 524.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Mannarino | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Mannarino | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Mannarino | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…0579backed Mannarino | 41c | 500$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Gea | 56c | 496.42$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Mannarino | 42c | 490.6$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 194 | 66%128 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Mannarino | 39c | 482.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.05 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gea | 25c | 479.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Gea | 58c | 475$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Mannarino | 43c | 471.77$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.91 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Mannarino | 24c | 470.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.39 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627c…587cbacked Gea | 57c | 464.91$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…4d11backed Gea | 57c | 464.67$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…dffdbacked Mannarino | 44c | 455.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Mannarino | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Mannarino | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…b825backed Mannarino | 44c | 454.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Mannarino | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Mannarino | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Gea | 57c | 440.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Gea | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Mannarino | 44c | 434.96$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Gea | 71c | 422.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Gea | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mannarino | 44c | 396.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Mannarino | 52c | 384.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…2509backed Gea | 60c | 367.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Gea | 63c | 363$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Gea | 56c | 358.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Mannarino | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Geathis page
- Mannarino vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Mannarino vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Mannarino vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Mannarino vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Mannarino vs. Gea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Mannarino vs GeaGea won
- Set Handicap: Gea (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Mannarino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.