TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x903f…de5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT16830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucaramanga: Daniel Salazar vs Matias Sotobacked Daniel Salazar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.21
Bucaramanga: Nicolas Villalon vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Nicolas Villalon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$121.4
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.65
Zadar: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alex Molcanbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.02
Morelos: Dan Martin vs Facundo Menabacked Dan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.28
Asuncion: Adolfo Vallejo vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.29
Asuncion: Nicolas Kicker vs Thiago Cigarranbacked Thiago Cigarran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$709.09
Asuncion: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Henrique Rochabacked Conner Huertas Del Pino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+399%+$405.9
Miami Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Martina Trevisanbacked Martina Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.29
Miami Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.82
Miami Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.79
Austin: Lanlana Tararudee vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.95
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.84
Cherbourg: Filippo Romano vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.69
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Henrique Rochabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.99
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$265.31
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sonay Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Phoenix: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$888.89
Phoenix: Mitchell Krueger vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$655.69
Phoenix: Stefano Travaglia vs Quentin Halysbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.91
Santiago: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboranbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.41
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Andrea Collarinibacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$779.24
Cherbourg: August Holmgren vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.17
Cherbourg: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$691.79
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.38
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.7
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+267.6%+$797.36
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+352.8%+$1,888.31
Stanford Cardinal vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$597.83
California Golden Bears vs. Syracuse Orangebacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$997.39
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,989.2
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$615.04
Duquesne Dukes vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+169.7%+$2,366.96
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida Bullsbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.99
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$999.59
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$593
South Florida Bulls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$415.33
Southern Jaguars vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+300.2%+$890.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.