Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Sho Shimabukuro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe23ec9aa1cc87d44cfbebae7083e0a8774c921c838a103c2966fc0805853d2c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sho Shimabukuroof Alex Bolt, Sho Shimabukuro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,684 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Bolt | 18c | 18,784$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.63 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Alex Bolt | 33c | 10,336$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.48 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 4,178$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.64 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Bolt | 31c | 3,583$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 2,521$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.83 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 1,739$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.69 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Bolt | 40c | 1,087$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.35 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 969.33$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Bolt | 32c | 936.81$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Alex Bolt | 35c | 931.22$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.93 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 769.12$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Alex Bolt | 23c | 753.86$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alex Bolt | 23c | 729.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.81 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Alex Bolt | 41c | 726.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Alex Bolt | 35c | 666.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 622.26$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…a954backed Sho Shimabukuro | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 590.96$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…3091backed Alex Bolt | 7c | 533.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 60c | 526.69$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 500.35$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Alex Bolt | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 482.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 391.34$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 351.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Sho Shimabukuro | 64c | 350.68$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Bolt | 35c | 342.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…623bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 340.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Alex Bolt | 33c | 325.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 59c | 294.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Bolt | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Alex Bolt | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Alex Bolt | 40c | 228.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 227$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Alex Bolt | 22c | 217.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Alex Bolt | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 78c | 207$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 72c | 194.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Alex Bolt | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 153.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Bolt | 28c | 153.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Bolt | 33c | 147$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alex Bolt | 28c | 127.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alex Bolt | 31c | 127.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Alex Bolt | 23c | 122.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Alex Bolt | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 117$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Sho Shimabukuro | 61c | 114.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 65c | 102.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Alex Bolt | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…d41abacked Alex Bolt | 43c | 98.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…6463backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 93.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Bolt | 32c | 92.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Alex Bolt | 37c | 92.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Alex Bolt | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alex Bolt | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Alex Bolt | 32c | 79.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Alex Bolt | 16c | 78.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…83f2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 76c | 77.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…bdd0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 76c | 76.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 74.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alex Bolt | 33c | 73.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sho Shimabukuro | 64c | 71.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…6b6ebacked Alex Bolt | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Alex Bolt | 35c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Alex Bolt | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Sho Shimabukuro | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 58c | 56.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Sho Shimabukuro | 78c | 55.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…d331backed Alex Bolt | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Sho Shimabukuro | 65c | 50.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Alex Bolt | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 46.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Sho Shimabukuro | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Alex Bolt | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Sho Shimabukuro | 76c | 39.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Bolt | 34c | 38.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Sho Shimabukuro | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…1a3cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 61c | 35.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 65c | 35.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sho Shimabukuro | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Sho Shimabukuro | 65c | 32.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 61c | 31.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Sho Shimabukurothis page
- Alex Bolt vs. Sho Shimabukuro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Shimabukuro (-1.5) vs Bolt (+1.5)Bolt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.