Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Daniel Salazar vs Matias Soto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x334de158d1f4cdce1276f66b0b87972996ea1614f8573c926ea7ea5a008b34cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Sotoof Daniel Salazar, Matias Soto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Salazar | 4c | 8,939$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Salazar | 6c | 6,164$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Daniel Salazar | 0c | 3,696$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Matias Soto | 80c | 2,113$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.68 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Daniel Salazar | 10c | 1,974$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Daniel Salazar | 23c | 1,803$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.29 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Daniel Salazar | 5c | 1,615$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Daniel Salazar | 8c | 1,283$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Daniel Salazar | 25c | 1,255$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.54 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Salazar | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.78 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matias Soto | 76c | 1,151$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Daniel Salazar | 27c | 1,021$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.79 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Daniel Salazar | 26c | 1,003$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.21 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Daniel Salazar | 5c | 825.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Matias Soto | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Daniel Salazar | 5c | 625$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 244 | 60.7%148 W · 96 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Salazar | 17c | 619.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Daniel Salazar | 25c | 553.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Salazar | 22c | 548.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Daniel Salazar | 5c | 529.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Matias Soto | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Daniel Salazar | 20c | 492.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Daniel Salazar | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Daniel Salazar | 18c | 396.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Matias Soto | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matias Soto | 75c | 363.77$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Daniel Salazar | 23c | 278.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matias Soto | 78c | 258.78$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5e43backed Daniel Salazar | 12c | 238.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Daniel Salazar | 12c | 238$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Daniel Salazar | 28c | 226.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Daniel Salazar | 17c | 217$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Daniel Salazar | 19c | 214$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Daniel Salazar | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Daniel Salazar | 19c | 180$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…a860backed Matias Soto | 77c | 163.76$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Salazar | 23c | 162.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Daniel Salazar | 27c | 159.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daniel Salazar | 18c | 151.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matias Soto | 78c | 133.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Matias Soto | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Matias Soto | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Daniel Salazar | 27c | 128.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Daniel Salazar | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Matias Soto | 78c | 100.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Daniel Salazar | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Daniel Salazar | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…7566backed Daniel Salazar | 25c | 81.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Matias Soto | 78c | 75.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matias Soto | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Matias Soto | 77c | 56.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed Matias Soto | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Daniel Salazar | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Matias Soto | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…e929backed Matias Soto | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed Matias Soto | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Matias Soto | 80c | 32.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Matias Soto | 80c | 28.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Matias Soto | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Matias Soto | 77c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.