TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2a7…3576

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Commodities, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT15258.6%89 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Luis Potosi: Robin Catry vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$9.15
Miyazaki: Omar Jasika vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
San Luis Potosi: Dan Martin vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Credit One Charleston Open: Alycia Parks vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Sao Leopoldo: Lautaro Midon vs Bruno Fernandezbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$17.06
Sao Leopoldo: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Mackenzie McDonald vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.44
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Bolt vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Sao Leopoldo: Paulo Dos Santos vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$35.46
Copa Colsanitas: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Despina Papamichailbacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$10.88
Grand Prix Hassan II: Jesper de Jong vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.9
Credit One Charleston Open: Solana Sierra vs Akasha Urhobobacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$13.35
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Credit One Charleston Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Lulu Sunbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$31.4
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Grand Prix Hassan II: Aleksandar Vukic vs Taha Baadibacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.18
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamotobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$35.94
Barletta: Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$8.73
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.43
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$10.45
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$19.7
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$12.54
Miyazaki: August Holmgren vs Yuto Okibacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2882.1%23 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$14.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5.38
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43%+$22.57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$15.19
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$7.81
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.94
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$23.24
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$30.63
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27%+$3.58
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$4.85
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$9.7
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$3.4
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$6.5
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$13.45
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+64%+$11.71
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.2
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$7.3
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$12.08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.94
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53%+$5.7
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1794.1%16 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick71cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$8.85
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$7.65
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$12.15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$12.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$5.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$9.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$6.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43%+$13.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$9.83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$25.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$17.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$39.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$9.5
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$39.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$4.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$19.46
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.07
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$19.12
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$9.72
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$17.85
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$15.5
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$4.45
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$5.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$8.5
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$9.44
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$20.65
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$16.27
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$2.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$10.18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$13.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+34%+$7.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.13
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$16.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$4.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58%+$14.69
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$8.29
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$5
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.79
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$11.4
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$8.45
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.62
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$29.96
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$4.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.31
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$6.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27%+$4.25
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$16.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: hindsight vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+48%+$21.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UConn advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.