MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74c9de5eefc7c7baa05fd1e57465556bad74cdb34ef35e7a640f0b157d2a3d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Cleveland Guardians, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 165,602$69,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,002.95 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 99,543$58,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,565.87 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 41,535$17,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,412.96 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 33,708$19,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,079.35 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 26,391$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 21,828$9,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,604.32 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 20,654$13,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495.19 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 20,641$14,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,510.81 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 19,398$10,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,535.32 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 12,490$7,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,370.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 12,140$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.11 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 10,296$5,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 6,746$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.25 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 6,124$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.69 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 5,394$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 4,761$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 4,000$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.71 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 3,309$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.35 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 2,879$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,798$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd551…d570backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,350$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.2 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,333$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.33 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,225$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,205$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,203$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,005$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.23 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,717$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.32 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,715$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.45 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,655$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,513$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.63 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,508$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.39 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,440$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.06 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,230$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.94 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 1,217$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.12 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 1,200$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 1,147$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,142$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.06 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,137$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,032$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,026$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.05 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 958.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.29 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 934$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 899.7$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.9 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 873.08$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 804$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 783.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 751$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 750$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 743.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…fed6backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 726.19$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 719.19$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 693$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 692.31$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 610$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.3 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 604.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.77 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 568.42$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 431.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…d6e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 417.05$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 415$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 404.55$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 376.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 367.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 355$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 351.52$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 324$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 315$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 299.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 296.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 292.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 277.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 248.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 243$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.