TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24ac…fed6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT8143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.71
Credit One Charleston Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazuabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,358.24
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.85
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.24
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Caroline Wernerbacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,542.91
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Elina Avanesyan vs Sara Saitobacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Morelia: Borna Gojo vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Kajsa Rinaldo Perssonbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$195.09
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.37
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mayar Sherifbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$367.92
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.99
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.49
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$346.64
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$661.54
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$396.06
Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Jaime Fariabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteirobacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$603.1
Morelia: Yunchaokete Bu vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$848.25
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.81
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+80%+$743.07
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.39
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.95
Naples: Andrea Pellegrino vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.37
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.78
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$290.93
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$61.48
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$1,199.95
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.21
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$405.55
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$254.83
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.05
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.99
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.6
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$268.47
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$357.97
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.46
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$240.33
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$614.46
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.32
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.53
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.15
Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.48
UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.7
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$106.36
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+141.5%+$70.17
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.88
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$371.05
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$304.55
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$297.29
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+89%+$663.87
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$195.1
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$470.91
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.12
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$170.39
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.91
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$118.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,558Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$1,861.32
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$230.77
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.51
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$181.03
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$303
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.01
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,386.66
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.86
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.55
All 6 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.