TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Elina Avanesyan vs Sara Saito

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elina Avanesyanof Elina Avanesyan, Sara Saito
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Sara Saito9c33,546$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.52,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdb…3629backed Sara Saito36c16,684$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x871f…5ac9backed Elina Avanesyan80c12,571$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.322060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sara Saito21c12,508$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.0511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Sara Saito13c11,441$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.4137741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Sara Saito40c9,998$4,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.693151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Elina Avanesyan75c6,943$5,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.182,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sara Saito8c6,443$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.256,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sara Saito1c3,942$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.962,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sara Saito15c3,793$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.058,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elina Avanesyan74c3,190$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.146,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Sara Saito17c2,786$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3250731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Elina Avanesyan67c2,370$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.677,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Elina Avanesyan65c1,855$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.839,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Sara Saito30c1,726$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.281,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8e…f961backed Sara Saito25c1,558$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.055724.6%14 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Sara Saito31c1,539$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.221,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Elina Avanesyan75c1,337$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1546473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Sara Saito25c1,065$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8925134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbe…088dbacked Sara Saito33c899.56$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Elina Avanesyan75c814.78$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.822,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb9…6da4backed Elina Avanesyan76c780.13$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.643375.8%25 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sara Saito18c730.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.934,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Elina Avanesyan76c690.9$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.322,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Elina Avanesyan71c674.65$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6552661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sara Saito20c526.94$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.614,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sara Saito28c510.43$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Sara Saito12c496.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Sara Saito40c482.45$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1414949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Sara Saito22c452.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.881,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf760…1334backed Sara Saito26c450$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Elina Avanesyan73c410.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Sara Saito31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12427749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Sara Saito31c375.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0432050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Sara Saito29c345.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Sara Saito33c340.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0719250.5%97 W · 95 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Sara Saito27c317.62$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dcf…87b8backed Sara Saito16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506842.6%29 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Sara Saito15c311$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3926941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Sara Saito16c311$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Sara Saito30c306.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6837153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Sara Saito42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sara Saito28c299.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Elina Avanesyan74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2759965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Elina Avanesyan71c253.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Sara Saito4c246.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Elina Avanesyan64c233.28$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2817655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sara Saito15c233$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sara Saito22c218.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.433,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f64…6ddfbacked Sara Saito34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc020…d2b4backed Sara Saito35c203.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Elina Avanesyan75c201.2$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Elina Avanesyan77c197$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3155660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Sara Saito13c191.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7945147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Sara Saito14c188.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.366041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Elina Avanesyan68c162.19$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.731,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sara Saito29c160$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.458048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Sara Saito31c159.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Sara Saito14c156.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5654141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Sara Saito27c148.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.565251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e81…8427backed Elina Avanesyan67c140.68$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.422955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Sara Saito13c137.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3285742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Elina Avanesyan73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.997542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Elina Avanesyan73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9923248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9f…b921backed Sara Saito22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Elina Avanesyan74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1448650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Sara Saito21c128.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9234950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Elina Avanesyan71c112.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.227,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Elina Avanesyan73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5950458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Sara Saito25c104.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3710971.6%78 W · 31 L+11.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sara Saito28c99.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.323,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Elina Avanesyan71c98.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5932843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Sara Saito30c93.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Sara Saito12c85.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3718020.6%37 W · 143 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Sara Saito27c80.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Sara Saito38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sara Saito22c72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Elina Avanesyan74c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6853457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c9f…dc67backed Sara Saito27c67.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Elina Avanesyan74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5720670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Sara Saito31c64.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed Elina Avanesyan65c62.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Elina Avanesyan80c62.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5113955.4%77 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sara Saito26c62.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1646932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Elina Avanesyan69c62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2250259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Sara Saito28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.87256.9%41 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Sara Saito22c56.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5940048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Elina Avanesyan66c55.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Elina Avanesyan74c54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.314458.3%84 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…fed6backed Sara Saito27c52.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.328143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Elina Avanesyan76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1247252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sara Saito35c49.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc898…a9b9backed Elina Avanesyan79c46.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.843574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sara Saito26c46.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Sara Saito30c45.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6224460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Elina Avanesyan74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5471165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9add…5cccbacked Elina Avanesyan74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Elina Avanesyan71c39.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3526254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Elina Avanesyan67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3123249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Elina Avanesyan72c35.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0215248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.