TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f64…6ddf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.74
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.34
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$369.05
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)backed Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.4
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.12
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$162.83
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.45
Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancacciobacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.87
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.9
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$256.05
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$207.09
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.76
Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$340.33
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$191.18
Set Handicap: Burruchaga (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)backed Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$205.27
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Adam Waltonbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,952Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$1,323.61
Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Pedro Vives Marcosbacked Pedro Vives Marcos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.43
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.3
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$341.9
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$189.35
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$434.48
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$331.4
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$580.35
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$158.33
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$271.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$124.24
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$215.43
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$650
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$92.47
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.1%+$58.55
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$104.24
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$75
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$188.46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.89
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.79
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$427.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.3%+$595.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,719.45
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Niko Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$140.63
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$53.88
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$265.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$198.84
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$447
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+172.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$11.14
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$369.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$319.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.