TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GIANTXof GIANTX, Team Heretics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$872,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$927,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x689a…97a4backed Team Heretics0c189,034$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.039741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Heretics3c72,304$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.681,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Heretics41c47,960$19,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,630.7364155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Team Heretics36c27,914$9,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,983.3666437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team Heretics1c19,294$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8799338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Team Heretics7c19,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.99140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed GIANTX68c17,095$11,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447.918451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked GIANTX60c14,136$8,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,617.4316325.2%41 W · 122 L-15.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…1aadbacked Team Heretics0c12,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked GIANTX62c10,000$6,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,808.8612646.8%59 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Team Heretics37c10,000$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.1914753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Team Heretics39c8,500$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.984231%13 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed GIANTX68c7,953$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.3842840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Team Heretics37c7,500$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.946131.1%19 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed GIANTX63c7,325$4,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.5814839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Heretics43c7,000$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.9949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed GIANTX63c6,986$4,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.6927957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked GIANTX64c6,368$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.3210133.7%34 W · 67 L-11.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked GIANTX60c6,158$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.0725447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed GIANTX59c6,147$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.8818350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team Heretics39c6,117$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.2282352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics16c5,332$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.141,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Team Heretics38c5,289$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Team Heretics22c5,021$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.5925547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Heretics35c4,961$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.821,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics14c4,825$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.111,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked GIANTX64c4,793$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.4128166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc466…6201backed GIANTX63c4,786$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.084153.7%22 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Heretics40c4,721$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.021,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7508…c848backed Team Heretics39c4,410$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed GIANTX73c4,254$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.139439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Heretics40c4,200$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6681,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed GIANTX77c4,167$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.9325446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed GIANTX62c3,526$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.5444047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Team Heretics38c3,450$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3089333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed GIANTX79c3,428$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.2724065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Team Heretics30c3,037$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.6939749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Heretics36c3,030$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.421,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Heretics38c3,000$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14548440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Heretics38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.999341.9%39 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked GIANTX71c2,821$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.2670162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed GIANTX66c2,800$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95750569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Heretics39c2,794$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.4781143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Heretics36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0827447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team Heretics38c2,767$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.681,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Team Heretics17c2,600$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.991225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed GIANTX63c2,540$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.4119146.1%88 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Team Heretics39c2,500$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97930050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked GIANTX63c2,500$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9242,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed GIANTX59c2,500$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0157052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed GIANTX71c2,481$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.9614757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed GIANTX64c2,474$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.343759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Heretics38c2,435$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.7567931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed GIANTX62c2,425$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.3414554.5%79 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Heretics20c2,314$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.961,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked GIANTX57c2,232$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.7628150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team Heretics40c2,183$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.081,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed GIANTX63c2,150$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.8230247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d20…ca2abacked Team Heretics37c2,125$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.2513935.3%49 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed GIANTX62c2,081$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.849549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Heretics8c2,031$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6359952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed GIANTX61c2,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Heretics36c1,954$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.4227735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Team Heretics8c1,940$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9314644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Heretics36c1,900$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.621,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Team Heretics38c1,889$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.58360.2%50 W · 33 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…893abacked Team Heretics9c1,878$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.06560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed GIANTX63c1,873$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.8942735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Team Heretics37c1,839$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.811542.6%49 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked GIANTX62c1,838$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.371963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics29c1,809$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.941,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed GIANTX57c1,753$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.6645248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Team Heretics36c1,697$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.851,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed GIANTX63c1,595$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.2650051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked Team Heretics8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed GIANTX60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60023832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team Heretics18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27038624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Team Heretics38c1,498$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.1628361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe58a…ce3ebacked Team Heretics40c1,454$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed GIANTX74c1,442$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.3525952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed GIANTX65c1,415$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.623547.7%112 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Heretics41c1,410$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.181,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Team Heretics37c1,404$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Team Heretics35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9911936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked GIANTX64c1,378$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5863458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed GIANTX76c1,370$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.538962.9%56 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Team Heretics32c1,294$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.2412927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GIANTX63c1,272$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.312,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…17c4backed Team Heretics3c1,254$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.781323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-63.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed Team Heretics40c1,228$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3111243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Heretics21c1,224$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3785442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed GIANTX57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.0285746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Team Heretics42c1,195$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.889238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed GIANTX62c1,162$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.128240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Heretics20c1,108$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9225923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Heretics35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38557945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Heretics38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4181,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Heretics34c1,100$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9932844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Team Heretics23c1,093$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.321,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Heretics30c1,072$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.253,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.