TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29df…8ebc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10133.7%34 W · 67 L-11.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$194.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$371.77
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$205.9
Will T1 win the LCK Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.2%+$62.44
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,047.94
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,079Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.1%+$2,289.32
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,668.68
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,935Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$829.3
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.9
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,528.1
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.9
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+376.2%+$584.36
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$31.82
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$289.94
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10,129.6
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,280.6
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,062.67
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$240.84
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,350.07
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,659Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+101.7%+$5,756.9
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+286.5%+$9,732.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,595.44
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,724.98
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,317.45
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+80.7%+$1,991.84
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$445.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$41.15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,054Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56%+$1,711.27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,098.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,000
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,189
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,766.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$1,732.63
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$367.23
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+170.3%+$5,486.04
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$497.28
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$792.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+178.1%+$801.59
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$444.08
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$448.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$336.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.