Lol · resolved market
Will T1 win the LCK Cup 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c1e0cb4f7545b7d9f4eee6c553dd80b627d77f86ca198f540c802ae4df655d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,888$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Yes | 1c | 3,682$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 21c | 577.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 41c | 524.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1be…cff5backed Yes | 37c | 473.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 21c | 425.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…d0aabacked Yes | 34c | 330.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 381 | 64.3%245 W · 136 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…33cbbacked Yes | 39c | 292.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 289.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 23c | 279.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…db7abacked No | 58c | 253.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 241.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…e4c5backed Yes | 42c | 235.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…18b4backed No | 78c | 199.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 175.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c3…ca38backed Yes | 34c | 172$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…4c0fbacked Yes | 34c | 161$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 19c | 159.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa9…f049backed Yes | 34c | 159$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6080…c946backed Yes | 32c | 157.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…8688backed Yes | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked No | 57c | 145.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 41c | 123.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…eed1backed Yes | 42c | 116.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 11c | 108.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…2a6bbacked Yes | 34c | 107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…4c84backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…279ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 63c | 98.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…607cbacked No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…facbbacked No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 22c | 88.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…fa38backed No | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…ad9abacked Yes | 42c | 87.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…4d8dbacked No | 66c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb016…c229backed Yes | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede2…1c5cbacked Yes | 37c | 83.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…7239backed No | 66c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b4…21b4backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…ccdfbacked No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…0f6ebacked No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 79.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…c5afbacked No | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…884abacked No | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63c…0bd3backed Yes | 40c | 74.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 70c | 73.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bb…ef9bbacked Yes | 37c | 71.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 23c | 65.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e2cdbacked Yes | 43c | 63.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…3b7fbacked Yes | 32c | 62.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes | 26c | 54.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…85c4backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…165ebacked Yes | 43c | 50.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked No | 71c | 48.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 48.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 62c | 47.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…69fabacked Yes | 40c | 47.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Yes | 59c | 47.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…00abbacked Yes | 43c | 46.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…6d09backed Yes | 44c | 45.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…e9babacked Yes | 34c | 44.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed Yes | 41c | 43.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5c08backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 31.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…4839backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will T1 win the LCK Cup 2026?this page
- Will BNK FEARX win the LCK Cup 2026?No won
- Will DN SOOPers win the LCK Cup 2026?No won
- Will DRX win the LCK Cup 2026?No won
- Will Dplus Kia win the LCK Cup 2026?No won
- Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.