TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb79…91b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
311
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT9239.1%36 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$17.02
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.4
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$35.57
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$16.76
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.89
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$36.57
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$42.6
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+208.2%+$48.64
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$22.14
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.35
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$22.42
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT8333.7%28 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$94.79
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.84
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.38
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$122.75
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Movistar KOI win LEC 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65%+$40.59
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.78
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.84
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.03
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$41.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.35
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.88
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$17.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.54
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+278.1%+$85.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$38.35
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$28.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$22.75
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.26
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27.87
All 23 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$68.4
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.03
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.02
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$26.62
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$22.1
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18.29
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.36
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+102.9%+$40.6
Will EC Vitória win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+62.6%+$23.48
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+126.7%+$75.45
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.46
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35.26
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will PARIVISION win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$37.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$24.74
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.35
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+186.1%+$55.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.9
Will MOUZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.35
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$48.06
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.58
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$108.74
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$28.55
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$22.5
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.73
Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3)backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.76
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$128.69
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+107.4%+$19.16
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Valorant: SLT vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed SLT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.35
Will Team Falcons win ESL One Birmingham 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.56
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.97
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$239.98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+83.9%+$26.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.26
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.56
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.95
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$22
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$170.91
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$29.75
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.66
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.65
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$17.55
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.71
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$28.8
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$51.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$43.82
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$19.5
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+188.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$19.38
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.