MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e415f7c0ee12e3ec7cdd53e74b11d0879e08eb09eb0b5d75d05cf95f8a72b3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,649,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,680,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,649,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 600,000$252,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347,999.9 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 500,000$205,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…5b0abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 400,000$232,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 300,000$177,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,000 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 174,273$101,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,078.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 135,456$73,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,240.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 111,293$48,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,616.15 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 98,297$57,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,995.35 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 37,933$22,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,380.44 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 26,763$11,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,258.27 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 25,160$12,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,038.39 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 24,400$14,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,396 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 22,807$6,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.99 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 69c | 18,997$13,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,882.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 18,300$10,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,797 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 17,576$10,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,194.08 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 15,200$8,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,563.8 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 14,583$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 11,309$6,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,618.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 10,880$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.43 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 10,299$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 10,100$5,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.01 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 10,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 9,341$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 8,712$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.29 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 6,710$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 6,643$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.75 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 6,200$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 6,107$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 5,326$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 5,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 4,962$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 4,677$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 4,234$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.12 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 4,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 4,090$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,473$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.48 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.83 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 3,010$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 78c | 3,000$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 2,265$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 2,059$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.38 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,053$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,029$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.31 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 1,970$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,770$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.26 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,675$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,600$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 1,577$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,425$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.82 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 11c | 1,411$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,403$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 1,323$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 1,244$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.38 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,208$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.46 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 1,164$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 1,110$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 954.29$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.03 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 880.79$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…14ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 844.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 819.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.63 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 799.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 777.09$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 761.28$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.77 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 749.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 730.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 680$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked San Diego Padres | 80c | 677.42$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 673.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 660.72$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 604.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 565.07$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 533.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 524.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Seattle Mariners | 29c | 521.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 521$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 516.12$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.31 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…c1c7backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 510$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 505$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.