TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4dd1…7918

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.99
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,160
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$770.11
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+220.1%+$378.08
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,530
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$165.04
Will the Thunder beat the Bucks by 5 or more points?backed OKC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$430.77
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+72.4%+$180.92
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$162.17
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+88.8%+$282.79
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$81
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$215.6
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+50.1%+$38.1
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.37
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$389.99
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+150%+$840
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+25.1%+$27.63
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$213.59
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.76
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$96.82
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+80%+$502.33
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.24
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.89
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,548.79
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078.09
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$101.2
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.35
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$270.08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.83
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$147.44
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.94
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.34
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.83
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.63
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$190.64
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.56
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,904Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$1,150.04
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$345.28
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$345
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$152.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$127.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$123.05
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.57
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.04
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$976.69
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+64%+$333.17
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$364.68
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+38.9%+$29.36
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+56.2%+$27.18
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$217
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$273.6
Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$460.55
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$291.62
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$190
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+58.7%+$61.58
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$179.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Will PAOK beat Viktoria Plzen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.95
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.48
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$74.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$570.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$134.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Sainz win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+59.2%+$148.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.