NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ac8c2843007fec98b62191fb18eaf12205684c972643dad0766c3acc9c0edb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Nuggets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans | 52c | 27,196$14,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,165.11 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Nuggets | 63c | 9,796$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb34…19b0backed Nuggets | 60c | 9,779$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 8,191$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.53 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans | 36c | 6,996$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.28 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…cbb9backed Pelicans | 24c | 5,600$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…b485backed Nuggets | 76c | 5,600$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Pelicans | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Pelicans | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…ec16backed Nuggets | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4a65backed Nuggets | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Nuggets | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f2fbbacked Pelicans | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…bd07backed Nuggets | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…6c29backed Nuggets | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…d9d0backed Pelicans | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…602fbacked Nuggets | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Pelicans | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked Pelicans | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…3fe3backed Pelicans | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…24fcbacked Nuggets | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5a3fbacked Pelicans | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Pelicans | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c8…31bcbacked Nuggets | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…1b16backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,869$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Nuggets | 62c | 4,781$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Nuggets | 34c | 3,813$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.31 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans | 32c | 2,731$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.33 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans | 25c | 2,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.83 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,982$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.81 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 20c | 1,966$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Pelicans | 40c | 1,633$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.21 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,324$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.7 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Nuggets | 10c | 1,232$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 6c | 1,139$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,114$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.19 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans | 36c | 1,042$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.22 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,000$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…da54backed Pelicans | 36c | 999.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…89a0backed Nuggets | 52c | 984.62$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 30c | 900$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Nuggets | 68c | 851.35$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…db5ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 834.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 63c | 725.03$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.27 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Nuggets | 41c | 706.73$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17c…e8c3backed Pelicans | 43c | 634.4$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…07d3backed Pelicans | 36c | 607.27$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Nuggets | 60c | 590.9$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans | 40c | 560$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Nuggets | 62c | 550.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Nuggets | 43c | 545.59$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Pelicans | 38c | 542.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.85 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pelicans | 28c | 542.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.15 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nuggets | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Pelicans | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Nuggets | 61c | 488.05$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Pelicans | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Nuggets | 68c | 441.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pelicans | 65c | 440.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Pelicans | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Nuggets | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nuggets | 75c | 397.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 30c | 358.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Nuggets | 67c | 328.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Nuggets | 62c | 322.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans | 33c | 300.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Pelicans | 38c | 294.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Nuggets | 72c | 283.17$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Nuggets | 58c | 279.6$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Nuggets | 56c | 268.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Nuggets | 4c | 263.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…af54backed Nuggets | 24c | 262.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Nuggets | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Nuggets | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…049ebacked Nuggets | 56c | 249.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 35c | 248.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…a400backed Nuggets | 56c | 245.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…3d68backed Pelicans | 46c | 245.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…aac6backed Pelicans | 56c | 230.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Nuggets | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…fda0backed Nuggets | 73c | 215.47$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Nuggets | 48c | 209.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 29c | 208.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…b9e5backed Nuggets | 38c | 200.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Nuggets | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Nuggets | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Nuggets | 26c | 195.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc6…603cbacked Pelicans | 38c | 176.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Nuggets | 66c | 174.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…c424backed Nuggets | 72c | 173.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nuggets | 58c | 173.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7935…2914backed Nuggets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…bae1backed Pelicans | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Nuggets | 58c | 159.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…d809backed Pelicans | 26c | 152.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…3f91backed Nuggets | 69c | 152.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Nuggets | 66c | 151.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Nuggets | 60c | 151$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.