TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0e5…293b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Bolelli/Vavassoribacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Pedro Martinezbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.59
Copa Colsanitas: Lia Karatancheva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$95.54
Sao Leopoldo: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.04
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Grand Prix Hassan II: Jesper de Jong vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.62
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Sao Paulo: Alex Barrena vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.16
Sao Paulo: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Guto Miguelbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$100.48
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.63
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$100.48
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Rinderknechbacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$41.08
Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Sasnovich (+1.5)backed Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Austin: Bianca Andreescu vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.93
Hersonissos 2: Paul Jubb vs Maxim Mrvabacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Santiago: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+59%+$58.98
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Cherbourg: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45
Cherbourg: Pavel Kotov vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.23
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63%+$24.9
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.3
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$115.01
Kings vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.4
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$39.9
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+108.6%+$108.32
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$35.5
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$124
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+61.1%+$61.09
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+150%+$150
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$111.44
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+38.9%+$41.6
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+33.5%+$65.14
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+53.8%+$32.31
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$82.39
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+44.9%+$62
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+66.5%+$66.48
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+47.1%+$48.33
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$37
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$34.15
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$104.24
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.1%+$31.11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$27.84
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.56
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$29.24
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.74
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Texans vs. Titans: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$49.43
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$49.92
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+37%+$9.56
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+58.8%+$58.75
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Lions vs. Texansbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
Delaware State Hornets vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.28
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.32
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.24
Northwestern State Demons vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.34
Northeastern Huskies vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$34.99
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$74.79
UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$73
Villanova Wildcats vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Charlotte 49ers vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
UIC Flames vs. Indiana State Sycamoresbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.18
Towson Tigers vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$43.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Panathinaikos vs. Partizanbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.4
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.9%+$59.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102.31
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$71.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+233.3%+$51.33
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.