TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beach

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UC Davis Aggiesof UC Davis Aggies, Long Beach State Beach
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,595 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach44c5,709$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.515,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed UC Davis Aggies56c5,354$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.835151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UC Davis Aggies58c3,471$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.812,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Long Beach State Beach44c2,119$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.2649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Long Beach State Beach29c1,911$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.721,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Long Beach State Beach45c1,862$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked UC Davis Aggies61c1,633$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.462759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed UC Davis Aggies55c1,366$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.4821149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Long Beach State Beach45c1,316$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.882,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Long Beach State Beach44c1,279$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.762,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Long Beach State Beach44c932.79$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4321549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed UC Davis Aggies59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32831646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed UC Davis Aggies38c682.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4542934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Long Beach State Beach60c661.18$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Long Beach State Beach53c642.59$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.933,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UC Davis Aggies47c620.02$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Long Beach State Beach45c536$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.24,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked UC Davis Aggies46c529.66$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.789745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Long Beach State Beach53c518.65$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed UC Davis Aggies40c493.48$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.1612045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Long Beach State Beach54c464.29$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7213141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ae…adf0backed UC Davis Aggies44c449.56$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Long Beach State Beach46c443.26$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.97655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UC Davis Aggies55c432.16$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.442,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Long Beach State Beach46c431$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.261,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked Long Beach State Beach15c420.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.945650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed UC Davis Aggies64c411.05$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6114450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Long Beach State Beach61c398.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.814,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UC Davis Aggies55c333.2$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.135,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked UC Davis Aggies69c311.81$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Long Beach State Beach32c310.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.241,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked UC Davis Aggies45c306.8$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.819352.7%49 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Long Beach State Beach32c278.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3115559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked UC Davis Aggies43c266.53$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9240252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Long Beach State Beach38c263.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Long Beach State Beach45c256.45$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.462140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UC Davis Aggies68c230.12$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.222,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked UC Davis Aggies64c222.7$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Long Beach State Beach45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Long Beach State Beach45c199.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.981,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed UC Davis Aggies46c194.3$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4124951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Long Beach State Beach49c188.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked UC Davis Aggies56c165.42$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Long Beach State Beach44c163.1$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked UC Davis Aggies55c162.22$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fd…d641backed Long Beach State Beach53c149.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.657663.2%48 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked UC Davis Aggies65c149.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9638…867abacked Long Beach State Beach10c139.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f64…1409backed Long Beach State Beach21c132.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Long Beach State Beach45c129$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0550745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf16…a9acbacked UC Davis Aggies79c111.4$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked Long Beach State Beach30c99.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.786826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Long Beach State Beach35c99.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.723243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked UC Davis Aggies48c95.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8113956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed UC Davis Aggies56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Long Beach State Beach38c89.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.241,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x11d1…e488backed Long Beach State Beach46c86.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.652755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Long Beach State Beach57c85.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6f…5439backed Long Beach State Beach47c84.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed UC Davis Aggies34c75.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.099264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UC Davis Aggies67c72.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…7824backed UC Davis Aggies55c72.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.442748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…69a1backed UC Davis Aggies55c72.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed UC Davis Aggies43c71.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.887746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Long Beach State Beach58c68.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.664057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed UC Davis Aggies56c66.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.083046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Long Beach State Beach45c65.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Long Beach State Beach59c60.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.941,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Long Beach State Beach21c59.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Long Beach State Beach44c59.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1714244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6212…4eb3backed UC Davis Aggies34c58.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.526936.2%25 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Long Beach State Beach46c53.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7813450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…1d4cbacked Long Beach State Beach21c51.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed UC Davis Aggies54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2316755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Long Beach State Beach43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.733445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked UC Davis Aggies69c49.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.329153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed UC Davis Aggies50c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.789353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c8d…58c7backed Long Beach State Beach31c49.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Long Beach State Beach25c44.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2814049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…5a35backed UC Davis Aggies39c39.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.915322.6%12 W · 41 L-8.2wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Long Beach State Beach44c38.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9817241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked UC Davis Aggies56c35.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714050%20 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb500…426fbacked Long Beach State Beach58c34.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.835759.6%34 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Long Beach State Beach46c32.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.873951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2917…a884backed UC Davis Aggies57c29.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked UC Davis Aggies56c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed UC Davis Aggies62c20.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6343053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked UC Davis Aggies55c18.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.484050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Davis Aggies70c18.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.581,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.