TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2eb5…c2ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
418
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10945%49 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$69.01
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+211.5%+$217.28
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$75.9
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$116.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$61.08
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.25
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$60.45
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.99
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.2
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.84
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT9352.7%49 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$63.61
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.69
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.53
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.57
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.6
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.11
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.52
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.7
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.37
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.4
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.3
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$90.72
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.44
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.54
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.12
Weber State Wildcats vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.87
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana State Bobcatsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$82.95
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT9137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$59.65
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.65
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.56
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$61.36
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$89.25
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.16
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.25
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.76
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.7
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.15
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$125.49
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$93.72
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$144
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.78
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$111.15
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$73.5
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70.4
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$76.47
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$71.75
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$65.55
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$60.82
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.65
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$42.25
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.4
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+177.8%+$125.33
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$77
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$37.45
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Saints vs. Dolphinsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.25
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+354.5%+$58.5
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+170.3%+$27.24
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.45
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.1
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.12
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$75.19
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.98
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.1
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.17
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.17
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$52.99
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$59.38
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.18
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.84
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.39
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+197.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$100.34
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+257.1%+$187.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.69
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$117.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.