MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93a4af82886c736098d92cb4735dc9e442cbb35425e8c88996a1ae5cfabfd4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 58c | 28,000$16,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,880 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 26,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed New York Yankees | 58c | 25,134$14,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,556.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 20,651$7,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,430.94 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 19,383$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.47 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 19,302$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 54c | 18,514$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,514.18 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed New York Yankees | 55c | 17,702$9,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,966.02 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 12,779$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.82 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…f906backed New York Yankees | 55c | 11,818$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,318.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 11,200$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.97 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 54c | 8,571$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed New York Yankees | 67c | 7,800$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.99 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 71c | 7,492$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.84 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…0200backed New York Yankees | 70c | 7,336$5,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 6,600$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 65c | 6,180$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 5,462$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Yankees | 57c | 4,936$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.24 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 4,779$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.55 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed New York Yankees | 55c | 4,727$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.27 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 4,604$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.95 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 4,583$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.3 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 4,450$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 67c | 4,269$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 4,016$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.25 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 55c | 3,857$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 2,408$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,246$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.42 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 2,201$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.04 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,150$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,024$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.7 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,881$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.01 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 1,873$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.8 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 1,796$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 1,569$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.58 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,530$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.4 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 68c | 1,413$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 1,388$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.24 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,374$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.15 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,289$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,282$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.74 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,248$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.78 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked New York Yankees | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 1,162$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,091$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,062$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,052$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Yankees | 54c | 998.98$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.53 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…9036backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 938.81$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed New York Yankees | 64c | 900.03$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.51 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 830$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.6 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed New York Yankees | 56c | 811.43$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.43 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Yankees | 71c | 703.89$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 694.9$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 623.23$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.69 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked New York Yankees | 70c | 611.33$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed New York Yankees | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 597.56$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.97 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked New York Yankees | 79c | 594.58$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 549.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 546.63$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 54c | 509.11$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.19 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 73c | 503.28$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…ce6cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…5607backed New York Yankees | 71c | 442.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 430.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked New York Yankees | 74c | 419.71$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed New York Yankees | 54c | 417.72$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed New York Yankees | 69c | 417.35$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 397.74$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.96 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 341.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 328$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 318.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Yankees | 70c | 307.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 298.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.