MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7873d13da04a79353cbfbfd1244e26af171e710d89a0e85de443314c31b6d9c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 55c | 189,974$103,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,194.13 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 46c | 40,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 28,694$12,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,928.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 23,650$10,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,746.46 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 10,105$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 45c | 8,573$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.85 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 7,478$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.67 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 5,667$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 4,307$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 46c | 4,016$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.52 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 55c | 3,276$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.02 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 2,889$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.63 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 46c | 2,747$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.64 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 46c | 2,747$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.64 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 2,290$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,131$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Over | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.99 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 45c | 2,010$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.5 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 1,803$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.36 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 54c | 1,570$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 1,535$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.45 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 62c | 1,446$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.26 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 43c | 1,380$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.42 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,112$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 798$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.09 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 46c | 632.22$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 46c | 632.22$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 45c | 527$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 46c | 507.13$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.65 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 45c | 464$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over | 55c | 451.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 46c | 425.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 46c | 380.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 379.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 46c | 354.67$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 293.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 46c | 283.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 273$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 46c | 256$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 46c | 226.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 195$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 45c | 175.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Over | 64c | 153.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 147.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 45c | 140.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 46c | 110.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…cab1backed Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 40c | 96.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 45c | 88.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 45c | 77.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 48c | 76.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 46c | 61.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 70c | 59.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 46c | 52.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Under | 51c | 44.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 51c | 44.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Under | 47c | 34.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 55c | 34.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 46c | 33.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Over | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 46c | 30.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 45c | 28.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 46c | 28.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…4492backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.