TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over55c189,974$103,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,194.1346949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under46c40,000$18,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,20085645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c28,694$12,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,928.7710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under45c25,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2502,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under45c23,650$10,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,746.464,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c10,105$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.063,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under45c8,573$3,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,857.851,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c7,478$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.671,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c5,667$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6076,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c4,307$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.344,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under46c4,016$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.5277647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over55c3,276$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.0286548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under47c3,000$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39545252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under46c2,889$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.631,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under46c2,747$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.6473949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under46c2,747$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.6479255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c2,290$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.786,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c2,131$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.768,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Over53c2,100$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.9912255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under45c2,010$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.545445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c1,803$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over54c1,570$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.712,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under47c1,535$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.4571650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over62c1,446$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.262,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under43c1,380$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.421,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,112$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under46c798$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.091,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32216644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under46c632.22$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.821,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Under46c632.22$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8211751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under45c527$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5727448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under46c507.13$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22528753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under45c464$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.658352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over55c451.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2310465.4%68 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under46c425.53$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.742,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18427952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under46c380.83$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1822050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over52c379.23$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.031,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Under46c354.67$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.151650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c293.5$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.462,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under46c283.37$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3540447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c273$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.588,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under46c256$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7612752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under46c226.7$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.284355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889650%48 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c195$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.899624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under45c175.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7959549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Over64c153.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.182860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c147.03$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.529,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under45c140.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0719555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Under46c110.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.753847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x788d…cab1backed Under58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4527244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under40c96.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.031,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under45c88.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.447852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Under45c77.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.713751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under48c76.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8428751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8599…ad67backed Under46c61.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.13342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.162,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Over70c59.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9738053.2%202 W · 178 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256261.3%38 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under46c52.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7979955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2513152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Under51c44.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8120552.7%108 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over51c44.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9440048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546a…1988backed Under47c34.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.173540%14 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over55c34.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.432,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under46c33.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2178854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6888247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Over64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under46c30.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.016048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under45c28.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8828948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under46c28.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.031,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211060.9%67 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78855.7%49 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e1b…aa71backed Under46c21.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1110048%48 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd678…4492backed Over56c19.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.